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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:36:59

Take profit at 0.1541 (7.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1739 (3.95 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 08:36:59

With 1213.6602 MERL at 0.1673$ per unit.

Position size of 203.0454 $

Take profit at 0.1541 (7.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1739 (3.95 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.84
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.039259

15m : 0.032294

1H : -0.035768

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.004394420528
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.163079
  4. ema21 : 0.171674
  5. ema50 : 0.188275
  6. ema100 : 0.205647
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0258803
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0500666
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0881723
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.186473
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.696012
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.746431
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.597697
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.424141
  17. rsi : 0.434203
  18. adx : 0.441847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.400061
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.219144
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.03209
  22. volume_ema1 : 689944.70866984
  23. volume_ema2 : 227547.00756196
  24. chop : 33.052
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.156507
  28. ema21 : 0.159522
  29. ema50 : 0.165664
  30. ema100 : 0.174092
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0689579
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0189011
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.037071
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.039015
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.512681
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.426029
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.295454
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.229186
  41. rsi : 0.523021
  42. adx : 0.45325
  43. kc_percentage : 0.824715
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.148008
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.77452
  46. volume_ema1 : 293042.25391557
  47. volume_ema2 : 105619.0047063
  48. chop : 12.222
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.159033
  52. ema21 : 0.155765
  53. ema50 : 0.15824
  54. ema100 : 0.162062
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0519808
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0209772
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0156421
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0323175
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.563822
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0699408
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.11212
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.108981
  65. rsi : 0.66882
  66. adx : 0.530432
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07329
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.119989
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.11335
  70. volume_ema1 : 148194.7938351
  71. volume_ema2 : 70122.986063587
  72. chop : 15.9472
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91187
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00347487
  78. 5m_price: 
    90870.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.039259
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91969.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0119059
  83. 15m_price: 
    90874.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032294
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93641.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0295912
  88. 1H_price: 
    90870.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.035768
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2293
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2261
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6831108531631
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.433691756272
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1836
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 21:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1685
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1672
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6831108531631
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.433691756272
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1725
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1695
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1653
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:35:00
                    [1] => 0.168
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1628
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
                    [1] => 0.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:25:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6831108531631
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.638888888889
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.652777777778
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.64%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0014
0.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0146
9.47%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 02:30:00 0.1725 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:55:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1695 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:55:00 0.1653 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:35:00 0.168 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:30:00 0.1628 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:10:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:45:00 0.144 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:25:00 0.1723 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.43%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0097
5.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0146
9.47%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:15:00 0.1836 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:15:00 0.1685 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1672 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:45:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1723 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0919
52.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0146
9.47%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 11:00:00 0.2293 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1878 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 20:00:00 0.2261 ↑ High
2026-01-19 14:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 0.1723 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
08:36:59		 20 Jan 2026
08:50:00		 13 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1673 0.1739 0.1541 2 0.0447
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1673
  • Stop Loss: 0.1739
  • Take Profit: 0.1541

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1739 - 0.1673 = 0.0066

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1673 - 0.1541 = 0.0132

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0132 / 0.0066 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
203.0454 100 1213.6602 2.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0066

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0066 = 1212.12

Taille de position USD = 1212.12 x 0.1673 = 202.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 1212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.1739

Avec un position size USD de 202.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0066 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0132 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1212.12
  • Taille de position USD 202.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.89 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.95 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.6025 % 116.67 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1541
            [entry_price] => 0.1673
            [stop_loss] => 0.17456
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1541
            [entry_price] => 0.1673
            [stop_loss] => 0.17522
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1541
            [entry_price] => 0.1673
            [stop_loss] => 0.17588
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1541
            [entry_price] => 0.1673
            [stop_loss] => 0.1772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0286
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.16530000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.2
            [mae_pct] => 17.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:36:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T10:36:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0113
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0286
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15600000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.75
            [mae_pct] => 17.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:36:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T15:36:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.17230000
            [high_after] => 0.19590000
            [low_before] => 0.13950000
            [low_after] => 0.15600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)