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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:40:06

Take profit at 0.1567 (7.5 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1757 (3.72 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 08:40:06

With 1259.9013 MERL at 0.1694$ per unit.

Position size of 213.4273 $

Take profit at 0.1567 (7.5 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1757 (3.72 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.086547

15m : -0.046772

1H : 0.085101

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.004233135738
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.163499
  4. ema21 : 0.171865
  5. ema50 : 0.188357
  6. ema100 : 0.205689
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0360891
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0486781
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0875574
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.176428
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.676342
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.737994
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.594313
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.422542
  17. rsi : 0.450899
  18. adx : 0.441847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.451885
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.216427
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.10947
  22. volume_ema1 : 717706.40285318
  23. volume_ema2 : 230813.08923059
  24. chop : 33.052
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.156507
  28. ema21 : 0.159522
  29. ema50 : 0.165664
  30. ema100 : 0.174092
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0823758
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0189011
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.037071
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0269524
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.512681
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.426029
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.295454
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.229186
  41. rsi : 0.523021
  42. adx : 0.45325
  43. kc_percentage : 0.909523
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.146173
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.77452
  46. volume_ema1 : 293042.25391557
  47. volume_ema2 : 105619.0047063
  48. chop : 12.222
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.161442
  52. ema21 : 0.157178
  53. ema50 : 0.15875
  54. ema100 : 0.162194
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.049289
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0271275
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00990003
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0444253
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.75174
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.195714
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0530601
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0793085
  65. rsi : 0.686999
  66. adx : 0.524054
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14205
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.11154
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.660275
  70. volume_ema1 : 117306.10028118
  71. volume_ema2 : 70654.611844424
  72. chop : 17.3489
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91197.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00161306
  78. 5m_price: 
    91050
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.086547
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91969.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0119059
  83. 15m_price: 
    90874.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.046772
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93644.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0277081
  88. 1H_price: 
    91050
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.085101
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2293
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2261
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3215322112594
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.645161290323
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1836
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 21:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1685
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1672
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3215322112594
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.645161290323
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1725
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1695
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1653
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:35:00
                    [1] => 0.168
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1628
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
                    [1] => 0.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:25:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3215322112594
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 16.875
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.652777777778
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
16.88%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0032
1.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0172
10.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 02:30:00 0.1725 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:55:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1695 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:55:00 0.1653 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:35:00 0.168 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:30:00 0.1628 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:10:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:45:00 0.144 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:25:00 0.1723 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
20.65%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0079
4.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0172
10.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:15:00 0.1836 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:15:00 0.1685 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1672 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:45:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1723 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
20.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0901
51.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0172
10.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 11:00:00 0.2293 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1878 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 20:00:00 0.2261 ↑ High
2026-01-19 14:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 0.1723 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
08:40:06		 20 Jan 2026
08:55:00		 14 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1694 0.1757 0.1567 2.02 0.0447
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1694
  • Stop Loss: 0.1757
  • Take Profit: 0.1567

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1757 - 0.1694 = 0.0063

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1694 - 0.1567 = 0.0127

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0127 / 0.0063 = 2.0159

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
213.4273 100 1259.9013 2.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0063

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0063 = 1269.84

Taille de position USD = 1269.84 x 0.1694 = 215.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 1269.84 avec un stoploss a 0.1757

Avec un position size USD de 215.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0063 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0127 = 16.13

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.13$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1269.84
  • Taille de position USD 215.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.13
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0159

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.72 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
-7.94 $ -3.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.49 % 147.62 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1567
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17633
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1567
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17696
            [rr_ratio] => 1.68
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1567
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17759
            [rr_ratio] => 1.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1567
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17885
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0041
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0265
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.16530000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.42
            [mae_pct] => 15.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:40:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T10:40:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0134
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0265
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15600000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.91
            [mae_pct] => 15.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:40:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T15:40:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.17230000
            [high_after] => 0.19590000
            [low_before] => 0.13950000
            [low_after] => 0.15600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)