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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 20 Jan 2026 at 08:48:28

Take profit at 0.1565 (7.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1758 (3.78 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 08:48:28

With 1243.4939 MERL at 0.1694$ per unit.

Position size of 210.6479 $

Take profit at 0.1565 (7.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1758 (3.78 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.085435

15m : -0.049687

1H : 0.011019

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.004288990501
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.163499
  4. ema21 : 0.171865
  5. ema50 : 0.188357
  6. ema100 : 0.205689
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0360891
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0486781
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0875574
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.176428
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.676342
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.737994
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.594313
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.422542
  17. rsi : 0.450899
  18. adx : 0.441847
  19. kc_percentage : 0.451885
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.216427
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.19004
  22. volume_ema1 : 747476.60683651
  23. volume_ema2 : 234315.4661698
  24. chop : 33.052
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.159918
  28. ema21 : 0.16085
  29. ema50 : 0.166028
  30. ema100 : 0.174262
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0592925
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00579703
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0311872
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0279039
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.329134
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.348493
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.26774
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.218389
  41. rsi : 0.593889
  42. adx : 0.430773
  43. kc_percentage : 0.868685
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.139726
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.29122
  46. volume_ema1 : 254254.60559927
  47. volume_ema2 : 110968.74409894
  48. chop : 14.712
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.162858
  52. ema21 : 0.158198
  53. ema50 : 0.159154
  54. ema100 : 0.162518
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0401692
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.029451
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00600084
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.042341
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.857264
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.289707
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00617915
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0580793
  65. rsi : 0.676812
  66. adx : 0.516785
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08374
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.111956
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.426041
  70. volume_ema1 : 101694.16707634
  71. volume_ema2 : 71312.204292953
  72. chop : 18.8322
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91196.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00258298
  78. 5m_price: 
    90961.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.085435
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91941.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0106591
  83. 15m_price: 
    90961.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.049687
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93642.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0286392
  88. 1H_price: 
    90961.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.011019
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2293
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2261
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4509576320371
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.720430107527
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1836
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1807
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 21:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1685
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1672
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4509576320371
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 21.720430107527
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.512544802867
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1725
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 0.164
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1695
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1653
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:35:00
                    [1] => 0.168
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1655
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1628
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1395
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
                    [1] => 0.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:25:00
                    [1] => 0.1723
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4509576320371
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.916666666667
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.652777777778
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
17.92%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0033
1.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0170
10.86%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 02:30:00 0.1725 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:55:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1695 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:55:00 0.1653 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:35:00 0.168 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:30:00 0.1628 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:10:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:45:00 0.144 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:25:00 0.1723 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.72%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0078
4.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0170
10.86%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:15:00 0.1836 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1807 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:15:00 0.1685 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1672 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:30:00 0.1728 ↑ High
2026-01-20 02:45:00 0.164 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:15:00 0.1723 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
21.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0900
51.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0170
10.86%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 11:00:00 0.2293 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1878 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 20:00:00 0.2261 ↑ High
2026-01-19 14:00:00 0.1655 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 0.1395 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 0.1723 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
08:48:28		 20 Jan 2026
08:55:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1694 0.1758 0.1565 2.02 0.0447
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1694
  • Stop Loss: 0.1758
  • Take Profit: 0.1565

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1758 - 0.1694 = 0.0064

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1694 - 0.1565 = 0.0129

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0129 / 0.0064 = 2.0156

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
210.6479 100 1243.4939 2.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0064

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0064 = 1250

Taille de position USD = 1250 x 0.1694 = 211.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 1250 avec un stoploss a 0.1758

Avec un position size USD de 211.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1250 x 0.0064 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1250 x 0.0129 = 16.13

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.13$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1250
  • Taille de position USD 211.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.13
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0156

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.62 % 16.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.78 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -3.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.49 % 145.31 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1565
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17644
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1565
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17708
            [rr_ratio] => 1.68
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1565
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.17772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1565
            [entry_price] => 0.1694
            [stop_loss] => 0.179
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0041
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0265
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.16530000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.42
            [mae_pct] => 15.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:48:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T10:48:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0134
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0265
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [high] => 0.19590000
            [low] => 0.15600000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.91
            [mae_pct] => 15.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T08:48:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T15:48:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.17230000
            [high_after] => 0.19590000
            [low_before] => 0.13950000
            [low_after] => 0.15600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)