Short Trade on AAVE 20 Jan 2026 at 21:13:51

Take profit at 154.8882 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 156.7809 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 20 Jan 2026 at 21:13:51

With 12.6805 AAVE at 156.15$ per unit.

Position size of 1980.0643 $

Take profit at 154.8882 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 156.7809 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.32
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.851557

15m : 0.129595

1H : 0.097077

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.4205924112
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 155.285
  4. ema21 : 156.907
  5. ema50 : 160.806
  6. ema100 : 165.101
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00556727
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0103394
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0242428
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0542174
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.210941
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.221816
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.184542
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.137372
  17. rsi : 0.420482
  18. adx : 0.524481
  19. kc_percentage : 0.408821
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0426844
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.353083
  22. volume_ema1 : 284076.23029609
  23. volume_ema2 : 439123.64628182
  24. chop : 40.8536
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 155.102
  29. ema21 : 154.784
  30. ema50 : 155.627
  31. ema100 : 157.576
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00675155
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00205531
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00541266
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00904966
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.050604
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00572304
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0317198
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0425099
  42. rsi : 0.62542
  43. adx : 0.2524
  44. kc_percentage : 0.927416
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0204728
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.580683
  47. volume_ema1 : 48774.365438415
  48. volume_ema2 : 116318.7040881
  49. chop : 49.3856
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 155.663
  54. ema21 : 155.236
  55. ema50 : 154.743
  56. ema100 : 154.545
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00312802
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00275041
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00318444
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.01038
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0398004
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0446957
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0280927
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0150845
  67. rsi : 0.682426
  68. adx : 0.277933
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03953
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104791
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.695474
  72. volume_ema1 : 8886.3541353886
  73. volume_ema2 : 29180.977557451
  74. chop : 62.8377
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89093.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00147411
  81. 5m_price:
    89224.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.851557
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90342.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0123691
  86. 15m_price:
    89224.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.129595
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92713.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0376322
  91. 1H_price:
    89224.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.097077
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 176.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 171.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 16:00:00
                        [1] => 166.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 162.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.076829502528974
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9621322074152
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0412983243172
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:45:00
                        [1] => 164.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 160.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 158.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 160.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 159.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 155.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 153.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.076829502528974
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9621322074152
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0412983243172
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
                        [1] => 154.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 154.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:00:00
                        [1] => 153.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
                        [1] => 152.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                        [1] => 153.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:10:00
                        [1] => 155.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
                        [1] => 155.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
                        [1] => 156.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.076829502528974
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64487005868318
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72225446572516
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.64%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5909
0.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3082
2.14%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 15:25:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:45:00 154.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 154.84 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:00:00 153.9 ↑ High
2026-01-20 18:50:00 152.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 153.95 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:10:00 155.81 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:45:00 155.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:05:00 156.19 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.04%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.3591
4.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3082
2.14%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 22:45:00 164.14 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 160.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:30:00 158.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:00:00 160.25 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 159.13 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 155.24 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 153.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 156.19 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.04%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.3991
13.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3082
2.14%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:00:00 176.51 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:00:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 16:00:00 166.08 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 162.68 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:00:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 156.19 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
21:13:51
20 Jan 2026
23:25:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.15 156.7809 154.8882 2 112.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.15
  • Stop Loss: 156.7809
  • Take Profit: 154.8882

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.7809 - 156.15 = 0.6309

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.15 - 154.8882 = 1.2618

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2618 / 0.6309 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1980.0643 100 12.6805 19.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6309

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6309 = 12.68

Taille de position USD = 12.68 x 156.15 = 1979.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.68 avec un stoploss a 156.7809

Avec un position size USD de 1979.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.68 x 0.6309 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.68 x 1.2618 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.68
  • Taille de position USD 1979.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.81 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4291 % 106.21 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.8882
            [entry_price] => 156.15
            [stop_loss] => 156.84399
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.8882
            [entry_price] => 156.15
            [stop_loss] => 156.90708
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.8882
            [entry_price] => 156.15
            [stop_loss] => 156.97017
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.8882
            [entry_price] => 156.15
            [stop_loss] => 157.09635
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.47
            [high] => 156.60000000
            [low] => 155.04000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:13:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:13:51-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 1.96
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [high] => 158.11000000
            [low] => 155.04000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.71
            [mae_pct] => 1.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:13:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:13:51-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.19000000
            [high_after] => 158.11000000
            [low_before] => 151.58000000
            [low_after] => 155.04000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)