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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 20 Jan 2026 at 21:14:16

Take profit at 12.231 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 12.36 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 20 Jan 2026 at 21:14:16

With 185.9408 AVAX at 12.317$ per unit.

Position size of 2290.2328 $

Take profit at 12.231 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 12.36 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 5.23
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.833869

15m : 0.169573

1H : 0.057152

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.02868296447
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.242
  4. ema21 : 12.3331
  5. ema50 : 12.5915
  6. ema100 : 12.8971
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00612084
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00738119
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0205273
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0449826
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.161689
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.169503
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.152398
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.118644
  17. rsi : 0.459054
  18. adx : 0.449282
  19. kc_percentage : 0.486805
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0438599
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.470661
  22. volume_ema1 : 405631.37226261
  23. volume_ema2 : 766299.17423811
  24. chop : 44.364
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.2428
  28. ema21 : 12.2122
  29. ema50 : 12.2553
  30. ema100 : 12.364
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00605488
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00251039
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00351819
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0038092
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0536624
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.01293
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0202769
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0296263
  41. rsi : 0.629266
  42. adx : 0.225522
  43. kc_percentage : 0.931486
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.019622
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.6459
  46. volume_ema1 : 64809.037274108
  47. volume_ema2 : 183024.77858762
  48. chop : 47.9604
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.2856
  52. ema21 : 12.252
  53. ema50 : 12.2093
  54. ema100 : 12.1846
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00254892
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00274575
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00349432
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0108632
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.041612
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0477618
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0309701
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0181278
  65. rsi : 0.695836
  66. adx : 0.271299
  67. kc_percentage : 1.072
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00886195
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.558181
  70. volume_ema1 : 17950.53442842
  71. volume_ema2 : 40628.750630647
  72. chop : 63.7207
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89093.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00142791
  78. 5m_price: 
    89220.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.833869
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90342.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0124146
  83. 15m_price: 
    89220.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.169573
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92713.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0376766
  88. 1H_price: 
    89220.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.057152
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 13.463
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                    [1] => 13.754
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 12.064
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 12.824
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 12.613
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.849
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.615
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 12.757
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02435064935065
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0883829929695
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1134917977904
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 12.393
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                    [1] => 12.637
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                    [1] => 12.317
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                    [1] => 12.543
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 12.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                    [1] => 12.053
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                    [1] => 12.291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                    [1] => 12.052
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02435064935065
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1988051775639
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2236973116495
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 12.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                    [1] => 12.291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
                    [1] => 12.167
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                    [1] => 12.228
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
                    [1] => 12.067
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:40:00
                    [1] => 12.134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                    [1] => 12.052
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
                    [1] => 12.252
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02435064935065
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.53052562846882
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55501142670584
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.56%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0400
0.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2830
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:30:00 12.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:30:00 12.167 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 12.228 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:25:00 12.067 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:40:00 12.134 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:55:00 12.252 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:05:00 12.32 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.20%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2770
2.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2830
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 03:30:00 12.393 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 12.637 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 12.317 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:30:00 12.543 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 12.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 12.053 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 12.32 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.11%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3940
11.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2830
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 12.32 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
21:14:16		 21 Jan 2026
00:45:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.317 12.36 12.231 2 8.906
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.317
  • Stop Loss: 12.36
  • Take Profit: 12.231

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.36 - 12.317 = 0.042999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.317 - 12.231 = 0.086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.086 / 0.042999999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2290.2328 100 185.9408 22.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.042999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.042999999999999 = 186.05

Taille de position USD = 186.05 x 12.317 = 2291.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 186.05 avec un stoploss a 12.36

Avec un position size USD de 2291.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 186.05 x 0.042999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 186.05 x 0.086 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 186.05
  • Taille de position USD 2291.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.7 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4953 % 141.88 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.231
            [entry_price] => 12.317
            [stop_loss] => 12.3643
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.231
            [entry_price] => 12.317
            [stop_loss] => 12.3686
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.231
            [entry_price] => 12.317
            [stop_loss] => 12.3729
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.231
            [entry_price] => 12.317
            [stop_loss] => 12.3815
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.084
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02
            [rr_ratio] => 4.2
            [high] => 12.33700000
            [low] => 12.23300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:14:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:14:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.19
            [max_drawdown] => 0.061
            [rr_ratio] => 3.11
            [high] => 12.37800000
            [low] => 12.12700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:14:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:14:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.32000000
            [high_after] => 12.37800000
            [low_before] => 11.94800000
            [low_after] => 12.20500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)