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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 22:44:22

Take profit at 160.6219 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 161.954 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 22:44:22

With 18.0169 MSTR at 161.51$ per unit.

Position size of 2909.9021 $

Take profit at 160.6219 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 161.954 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.330879

15m : 0.049324

1H : -0.002801

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.2960191194
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.797
  4. ema21 : 162.554
  5. ema50 : 166.425
  6. ema100 : 169.533
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00443251
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0108076
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0232612
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0473241
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.175167
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.218434
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.178109
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.118227
  17. rsi : 0.414273
  18. adx : 0.602165
  19. kc_percentage : 0.373686
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0429253
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.131278
  22. volume_ema1 : 1072649.5078117
  23. volume_ema2 : 948174.55526163
  24. chop : 43.7555
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.696
  28. ema21 : 160.523
  29. ema50 : 161.22
  30. ema100 : 162.826
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00506343
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00107799
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00432277
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00808475
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0683784
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0247419
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0161625
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0294536
  41. rsi : 0.535132
  42. adx : 0.154106
  43. kc_percentage : 0.9206
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0145607
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.64054
  46. volume_ema1 : 132417.99257912
  47. volume_ema2 : 368381.00411813
  48. chop : 56.8488
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.049
  52. ema21 : 160.862
  53. ema50 : 160.562
  54. ema100 : 160.522
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00285829
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00116459
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00186667
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0061542
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0078472
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00947642
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0107649
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00506629
  65. rsi : 0.687195
  66. adx : 0.232956
  67. kc_percentage : 1.05648
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00704564
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.823287
  70. volume_ema1 : 16003.110625913
  71. volume_ema2 : 90560.083262416
  72. chop : 39.5538
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89077.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00384028
  78. 5m_price: 
    89420
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.330879
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90167.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104655
  83. 15m_price: 
    89224
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.049324
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92633.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0346887
  88. 1H_price: 
    89420
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.002801
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 161.63
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9618975523593
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9618975523593
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
                    [1] => 161.63
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98088216918655
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98088216918655
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:50:00
                    [1] => 160.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:20:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
                    [1] => 161.63
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98088216918655
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98088216918655
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3240
0.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1019
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 15:50:00 160.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:20:00 161.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:40:00 161.63 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.2660
2.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1019
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:30:00 161.63 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.6060
7.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1019
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 161.63 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
22:44:22		 20 Jan 2026
23:20:00		 35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.51 161.954 160.6219 2 131.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.51
  • Stop Loss: 161.954
  • Take Profit: 160.6219

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.954 - 161.51 = 0.44400000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.51 - 160.6219 = 0.88809999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.88809999999998 / 0.44400000000002 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2909.9021 100 18.0169 29.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.44400000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.44400000000002 = 18.02

Taille de position USD = 18.02 x 161.51 = 2910.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.02 avec un stoploss a 161.954

Avec un position size USD de 2910.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.02 x 0.44400000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.02 x 0.88809999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.02
  • Taille de position USD 2910.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.55 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2972 % 108.11 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6219
            [entry_price] => 161.51
            [stop_loss] => 161.9984
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6219
            [entry_price] => 161.51
            [stop_loss] => 162.0428
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6219
            [entry_price] => 161.51
            [stop_loss] => 162.0872
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.6219
            [entry_price] => 161.51
            [stop_loss] => 162.176
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.25
            [max_drawdown] => 0.91
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 162.42000000
            [low] => 161.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:44:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T00:44:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.08
            [max_drawdown] => 1.08
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.67
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:44:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T05:44:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.63000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 158.52000000
            [low_after] => 160.59000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)