Short Trade on BTC 20 Jan 2026 at 22:49:21
Take profit at 89104.4455 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 89671.9773 (0.21 %)
Short Trade on BTC 20 Jan 2026 at 22:49:21
Take profit at 89104.4455 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 89671.9773 (0.21 %)
Position size of 3784.0827 $
Take profit at 89104.4455 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 89671.9773 (0.21 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.079359 1H : -0.067219 |
2 |
Indicators:
89077.7
0.00454691
89482.8
1
90143.4
-0.00732908
89482.8
-0.079359
92634.5
-0.0340237
89482.8
-0.067219
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 95626
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 94870
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 95490.3
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 91850
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 93316.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 92662.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 93380.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2123490847096
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8743522283345
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 35
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2315121695653
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
[1] => 91409.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 91350.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 89820
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:15:00
[1] => 90943.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
[1] => 89255
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 89825
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
[1] => 89570.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13799216927933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8743522283345
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.29246739693939
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:55:00
[1] => 89510
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 16:50:00
[1] => 89400
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
[1] => 89630.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:15:00
[1] => 87839
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:20:00
[1] => 88211
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
[1] => 89098
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:35:00
[1] => 88940.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
[1] => 89570.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13799216927933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56925761521199
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.70822708240576
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 15:55:00 | 89510 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 16:50:00 | 89400 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 17:15:00 | 89630.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 18:15:00 | 87839 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 19:20:00 | 88211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:15:00 | 89098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:05:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:35:00 | 88940.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 22:40:00 | 89570.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:00:00 | 91409.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 91350.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 89820 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 11:15:00 | 90943.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:30:00 | 89255 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 89825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:00:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 22:30:00 | 89570.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 95626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 94870 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 95490.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 91850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 93316.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 92662.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 93380.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:00:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 17:00:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 22:49:21 |
21 Jan 2026 00:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89482.8 | 89671.9773 | 89104.4455 | 2 | 66505.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89671.9773 - 89482.8 = 189.1773
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 89482.8 - 89104.4455 = 378.3545
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 378.3545 / 189.1773 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3784.0827 | 100 | 0.04229 | 37.84 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 189.1773 = 0.04
Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 89482.8 = 3579.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 89671.9773
Avec un position size USD de 3579.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.04 x 189.1773 = 7.57
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.57$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.04 x 378.3545 = 15.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2274 % | 107.57 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89104.4455
[entry_price] => 89482.8
[stop_loss] => 89690.89503
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89104.4455
[entry_price] => 89482.8
[stop_loss] => 89709.81276
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89104.4455
[entry_price] => 89482.8
[stop_loss] => 89728.73049
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89104.4455
[entry_price] => 89482.8
[stop_loss] => 89766.56595
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 180
[max_drawdown] => 601
[rr_ratio] => 0.3
[high] => 90083.80000000
[low] => 89302.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.2
[mae_pct] => 0.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:49:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T00:49:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 546.3
[max_drawdown] => 601
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[high] => 90083.80000000
[low] => 88936.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.61
[mae_pct] => 0.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.91
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:49:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T05:49:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 89570.30000000
[high_after] => 90083.80000000
[low_before] => 88211.00000000
[low_after] => 88936.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)