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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 22 Jan 2026 at 20:57:46

Take profit at 161.5148 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.4226 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 22 Jan 2026 at 20:57:46

With 26.4394 MSTR at 162.12$ per unit.

Position size of 4286.3551 $

Take profit at 161.5148 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.4226 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.610338

15m : -0.006431

1H : -0.002748

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.20171917
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.802
  4. ema21 : 162.35
  5. ema50 : 163.177
  6. ema100 : 165.335
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00196375
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00337745
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0050693
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0194492
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.115713
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.067094
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0432452
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0477812
  17. rsi : 0.479792
  18. adx : 0.263095
  19. kc_percentage : 0.461467
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0323962
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.622905
  22. volume_ema1 : 451449.22832053
  23. volume_ema2 : 1197179.318232
  24. chop : 53.3142
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.599
  28. ema21 : 161.596
  29. ema50 : 162.09
  30. ema100 : 162.751
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00322229
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 1.61546E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00304406
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00388313
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0165987
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00763066
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0190778
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0177373
  41. rsi : 0.549339
  42. adx : 0.137923
  43. kc_percentage : 0.807288
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0107273
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.926333
  46. volume_ema1 : 17449.567523378
  47. volume_ema2 : 236871.33761742
  48. chop : 73.2125
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.893
  52. ema21 : 161.687
  53. ema50 : 161.585
  54. ema100 : 161.739
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00140096
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00126943
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00063157
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00235306
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.031933
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0204548
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00816545
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0012891
  65. rsi : 0.70254
  66. adx : 0.167609
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03831
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00481532
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.749729
  70. volume_ema1 : 6783.5161470911
  71. volume_ema2 : 27104.754081733
  72. chop : 35.1892
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89476.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00436907
  78. 5m_price: 
    89867.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.610338
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89620.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00160223
  83. 15m_price: 
    89764
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.006431
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90777.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0100318
  88. 1H_price: 
    89867.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.002748
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                    [1] => 162.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 23:00:00
                    [1] => 164.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6127076512671
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.96435015242955
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56309829193517
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 09:30:00
                    [1] => 164.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 10:30:00
                    [1] => 159.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 11:45:00
                    [1] => 163.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
                    [1] => 161.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                    [1] => 163.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                    [1] => 161.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:45:00
                    [1] => 162.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01848314952868
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.79503105590062
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81366459627329
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                    [1] => 163.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:55:00
                    [1] => 160.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 17:30:00
                    [1] => 160.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 17:40:00
                    [1] => 161.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                    [1] => 161.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:55:00
                    [1] => 162.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01848314952868
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73246430788331
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75108628181254
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3074
0.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7848
0.49%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:55:00 160.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:30:00 160.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:40:00 161.27 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:00:00 161.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:55:00 162.31 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.2674
1.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6848
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 09:30:00 164.69 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:30:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 11:45:00 163.08 ↑ High
2026-01-22 14:00:00 161.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:45:00 162.31 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.96%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.1374
6.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9048
3.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 162.59 ↑ High
2026-01-21 12:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 14:00:00 165.63 ↑ High
2026-01-21 23:00:00 164.94 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:00:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
22 Jan 2026
20:57:46		 23 Jan 2026
03:35:00		 6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.12 162.4226 161.5148 2 130.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.12
  • Stop Loss: 162.4226
  • Take Profit: 161.5148

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.4226 - 162.12 = 0.30259999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.12 - 161.5148 = 0.6052

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6052 / 0.30259999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4286.3551 100 26.4394 42.86
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.30259999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.30259999999998 = 26.44

Taille de position USD = 26.44 x 162.12 = 4286.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.44 avec un stoploss a 162.4226

Avec un position size USD de 4286.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.44 x 0.30259999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.44 x 0.6052 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.44
  • Taille de position USD 4286.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1727 % 92.5 % 24

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.46000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28
            [rr_ratio] => 1.64
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T20:57:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-22T22:57:46-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.84999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28
            [rr_ratio] => 3.04
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T20:57:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-23T03:57:46-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.31000000
            [high_after] => 162.40000000
            [low_before] => 160.79000000
            [low_after] => 161.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)