Short Trade on MSTR 22 Jan 2026 at 21:09:08

Take profit at 161.5974 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.5013 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 22 Jan 2026 at 21:09:08

With 26.551 MSTR at 162.2$ per unit.

Position size of 4306.5791 $

Take profit at 161.5974 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.5013 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.95
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.622404

15m : 0.023519

1H : 0.10493

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.2008709584
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.907
  4. ema21 : 162.35
  5. ema50 : 163.145
  6. ema100 : 165.276
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00180715
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00272692
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00487508
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0186153
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0949024
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0619338
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0419354
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0470378
  17. rsi : 0.483903
  18. adx : 0.254558
  19. kc_percentage : 0.474261
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0298229
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.735219
  22. volume_ema1 : 304678.1080248
  23. volume_ema2 : 1150681.4312319
  24. chop : 53.4457
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 161.769
  29. ema21 : 161.677
  30. ema50 : 162.106
  31. ema100 : 162.752
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00266414
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000568315
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0026505
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00339465
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0275265
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.000324773
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0154858
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0160137
  42. rsi : 0.575407
  43. adx : 0.146122
  44. kc_percentage : 0.800331
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.010863
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.918855
  47. volume_ema1 : 18416.154115585
  48. volume_ema2 : 226953.66562227
  49. chop : 64.1998
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 162.004
  54. ema21 : 161.778
  55. ema50 : 161.635
  56. ema100 : 161.765
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00120414
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.001397
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00088796
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00268295
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0303769
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0217652
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00967517
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00223761
  67. rsi : 0.668114
  68. adx : 0.195447
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02246
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00480696
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.757534
  72. volume_ema1 : 5921.7855727812
  73. volume_ema2 : 24423.211489224
  74. chop : 33.642
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89526.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0026023
  81. 5m_price:
    89759.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.622404
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89642.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00130627
  86. 15m_price:
    89759.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.023519
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90513.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00832717
  91. 1H_price:
    89759.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.10493
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                        [1] => 166.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 159.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                        [1] => 158.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                        [1] => 162.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 12:00:00
                        [1] => 156.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 14:00:00
                        [1] => 165.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 23:00:00
                        [1] => 164.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                        [1] => 159.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                        [1] => 160.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 162.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.073928043371122
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.9145772413364
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98923660797611
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 09:30:00
                        [1] => 164.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 10:30:00
                        [1] => 159.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 11:45:00
                        [1] => 163.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
                        [1] => 161.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                        [1] => 163.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                        [1] => 160.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 160.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                        [1] => 161.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                        [1] => 161
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 162.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.073928043371122
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.74534161490683
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81987577639751
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                        [1] => 163.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                        [1] => 160.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 16:55:00
                        [1] => 160.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 17:30:00
                        [1] => 160.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 17:40:00
                        [1] => 161.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 160.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                        [1] => 161.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                        [1] => 161
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 161.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 162.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.073928043371122
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68280571073867
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75729360645562
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.68%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.76%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2287
0.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8674
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:55:00 160.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:30:00 160.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:40:00 161.27 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:00:00 161.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 21:00:00 162.32 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.1887
1.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7674
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 09:30:00 164.69 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:30:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 11:45:00 163.08 ↑ High
2026-01-22 14:00:00 161.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 21:00:00 162.32 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7187
2.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9874
3.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 162.59 ↑ High
2026-01-21 12:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 14:00:00 165.63 ↑ High
2026-01-21 23:00:00 164.94 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:00:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 21:00:00 162.32 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
22 Jan 2026
21:09:08
23 Jan 2026
03:30:00
6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.2 162.5013 161.5974 2 132.99
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.2
  • Stop Loss: 162.5013
  • Take Profit: 161.5974

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.5013 - 162.2 = 0.3013

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.2 - 161.5974 = 0.6026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6026 / 0.3013 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4306.5791 100 26.551 43.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3013

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3013 = 26.55

Taille de position USD = 26.55 x 162.2 = 4306.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.55 avec un stoploss a 162.5013

Avec un position size USD de 4306.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.55 x 0.3013 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.55 x 0.6026 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.55
  • Taille de position USD 4306.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1233 % 66.36 % 13

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.53999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.20000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 2.7
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T21:09:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-22T23:09:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.92999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.20000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 4.65
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T21:09:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-23T04:09:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.32000000
            [high_after] => 162.40000000
            [low_before] => 160.79000000
            [low_after] => 161.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)