Short Trade on TRUMP 25 Jan 2026 at 20:20:03

Take profit at 4.7755 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8243 (0.34 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 25 Jan 2026 at 20:20:03

With 491.6486 TRUMP at 4.808$ per unit.

Position size of 2363.8467 $

Take profit at 4.7755 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8243 (0.34 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.87
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.86
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.007189

15m : 0.085933

1H : -0.142995

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.01084785521
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.78293
  4. ema21 : 4.81859
  5. ema50 : 4.85814
  6. ema100 : 4.88159
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00524073
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00740059
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00814096
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0150756
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.201277
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.153486
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0822842
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0463034
  17. rsi : 0.455795
  18. adx : 0.352097
  19. kc_percentage : 0.447168
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0316088
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.277454
  22. volume_ema1 : 178350.58905083
  23. volume_ema2 : 246836.5813743
  24. chop : 26.2554
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.78012
  29. ema21 : 4.76729
  30. ema50 : 4.78917
  31. ema100 : 4.82942
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00583209
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00269054
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0045682
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00443535
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0750623
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0227877
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0218878
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0291091
  42. rsi : 0.620403
  43. adx : 0.39148
  44. kc_percentage : 0.955923
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0185416
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.694446
  47. volume_ema1 : 23518.557998581
  48. volume_ema2 : 76970.370590563
  49. chop : 43.0687
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.79561
  54. ema21 : 4.77901
  55. ema50 : 4.76315
  56. ema100 : 4.76323
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0025836
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00347274
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00332964
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00939825
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0630301
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0485512
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0280035
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0117745
  67. rsi : 0.684755
  68. adx : 0.339765
  69. kc_percentage : 1.13596
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00914034
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.415453
  72. volume_ema1 : 9125.6551667767
  73. volume_ema2 : 15611.525756684
  74. chop : 33.2135
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86928.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00455587
  81. 5m_price:
    87325
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.007189
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87833.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0058549
  86. 15m_price:
    87319.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.085933
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88922.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0179619
  91. 1H_price:
    87325
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.142995
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.827
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4.892
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.808
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 4.919
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.912
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.821
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082970338104119
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8614136237455
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9468289557976
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.931
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:45:00
                        [1] => 4.877
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
                        [1] => 4.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 06:45:00
                        [1] => 4.874
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
                        [1] => 4.909
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 11:15:00
                        [1] => 4.773
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:15:00
                        [1] => 4.821
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082970338104119
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0550847457627
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1398305084746
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.767
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:50:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.702
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:20:00
                        [1] => 4.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:35:00
                        [1] => 4.733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 17:35:00
                        [1] => 4.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:20:00
                        [1] => 4.795
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:40:00
                        [1] => 4.759
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:20:00
                        [1] => 4.821
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082970338104119
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2187434334944
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3027947047699
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0033
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0925
1.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 14:00:00 4.767 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:50:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 15:30:00 4.702 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:20:00 4.76 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:35:00 4.733 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 17:35:00 4.746 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 4.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 19:20:00 4.795 ↑ High
2026-01-25 19:40:00 4.759 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:20:00 4.821 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1067
2.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0925
1.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 02:00:00 4.931 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:45:00 4.877 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:30:00 4.9 ↑ High
2026-01-25 06:45:00 4.874 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 08:45:00 4.909 ↑ High
2026-01-25 11:15:00 4.773 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:45:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:15:00 4.76 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 4.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:15:00 4.821 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.86%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1757
3.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0925
1.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 13:00:00 4.9 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 4.827 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 4.892 ↑ High
2026-01-23 09:00:00 4.808 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 4.919 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 5 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 4.912 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 18:00:00 4.959 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:00:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:00:00 4.821 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
20:20:03
25 Jan 2026
23:20:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.808 4.8243 4.7755 1.99 3.409
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.808
  • Stop Loss: 4.8243
  • Take Profit: 4.7755

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.8243 - 4.808 = 0.0163

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.808 - 4.7755 = 0.0325

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0325 / 0.0163 = 1.9939

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2363.8467 100 491.6486 23.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0163

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0163 = 490.8

Taille de position USD = 490.8 x 4.808 = 2359.77

Donc, tu peux acheter 490.8 avec un stoploss a 4.8243

Avec un position size USD de 2359.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 490.8 x 0.0163 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 490.8 x 0.0325 = 15.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 490.8
  • Taille de position USD 2359.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9939

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.68 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4784 % 141.12 % 13

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7755
            [entry_price] => 4.808
            [stop_loss] => 4.82593
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7755
            [entry_price] => 4.808
            [stop_loss] => 4.82756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7755
            [entry_price] => 4.808
            [stop_loss] => 4.82919
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7755
            [entry_price] => 4.808
            [stop_loss] => 4.83245
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [high] => 4.81900000
            [low] => 4.78600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:20:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T22:20:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [high] => 4.85700000
            [low] => 4.78600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 1.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:20:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-26T03:20:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.82100000
            [high_after] => 4.84800000
            [low_before] => 4.72000000
            [low_after] => 4.78600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)