Short Trade on XPL 25 Jan 2026 at 20:20:59
Take profit at 0.1191 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1219 (0.74 %)
Short Trade on XPL 25 Jan 2026 at 20:20:59
Take profit at 0.1191 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1219 (0.74 %)
Position size of 1037.5279 $
Take profit at 0.1191 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1219 (0.74 %)
That's a 2.11 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.616033 15m : -0.145006 1H : -0.123199 |
2 |
Indicators:
86928.9
0.00455587
87325
0.616033
87833.7
-0.0058549
87319.5
-0.145006
88922.2
-0.0179619
87325
-0.123199
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 01:00:00
[1] => 0.1278
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1198
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
[1] => 0.1292
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1303
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1259
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1308
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
[1] => 0.1231
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 05:00:00
[1] => 0.128
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
[1] => 0.114
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1221
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65520065520065
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.4035087719298
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1052631578947
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 23:15:00
[1] => 0.1241
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 01:30:00
[1] => 0.1258
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
[1] => 0.1231
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
[1] => 0.128
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
[1] => 0.1253
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 09:30:00
[1] => 0.1217
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 10:15:00
[1] => 0.1245
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
[1] => 0.114
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:30:00
[1] => 0.1159
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1221
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65520065520065
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6591889559965
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.3494391716997
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 15:40:00
[1] => 0.1147
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:30:00
[1] => 0.1173
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:35:00
[1] => 0.1164
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1174
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:30:00
[1] => 0.1159
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 18:45:00
[1] => 0.119
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:05:00
[1] => 0.1179
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:20:00
[1] => 0.1192
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:40:00
[1] => 0.118
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:10:00
[1] => 0.1221
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65520065520065
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7966101694915
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4745762711864
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 15:40:00 | 0.1147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 16:30:00 | 0.1173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 16:35:00 | 0.1164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:00 | 0.1174 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 17:30:00 | 0.1159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 18:45:00 | 0.119 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 19:05:00 | 0.1179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 19:20:00 | 0.1192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 19:40:00 | 0.118 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:10:00 | 0.1221 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 23:15:00 | 0.1241 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 01:30:00 | 0.1258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:30:00 | 0.1231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 05:30:00 | 0.128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 08:45:00 | 0.1253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 09:30:00 | 0.1217 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 10:15:00 | 0.1245 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 14:45:00 | 0.114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 17:30:00 | 0.1159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:00:00 | 0.1221 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 01:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 09:00:00 | 0.1198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-23 12:00:00 | 0.1292 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 09:00:00 | 0.1303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 11:00:00 | 0.1259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 20:00:00 | 0.1308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:00:00 | 0.1231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 05:00:00 | 0.128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 14:00:00 | 0.114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:00:00 | 0.1221 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 20:20:59 |
25 Jan 2026 22:30:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.121 | 0.1219 | 0.1191 | 2.11 | 0.0977 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1219 - 0.121 = 0.0009
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.121 - 0.1191 = 0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0019 / 0.0009 = 2.1111
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1037.5279 | 100 | 8574.6109 | 10.38 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0009 = 8888.89
Taille de position USD = 8888.89 x 0.121 = 1075.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 8888.89 avec un stoploss a 0.1219
Avec un position size USD de 1075.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8888.89 x 0.0009 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8888.89 x 0.0019 = 16.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.89$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 16.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.29 $ | 1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4959 % | 66.67 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1192
[stop_loss] => 0.1219
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 22:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.11875
[stop_loss] => 0.1219
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 22:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1183
[stop_loss] => 0.1219
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0017
[max_drawdown] => 0.0006
[rr_ratio] => 2.83
[high] => 0.12160000
[low] => 0.11930000
[mfe_pct] => 1.4
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.83
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:20:59-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-25T22:20:59-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0027
[max_drawdown] => 0.0006
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[high] => 0.12160000
[low] => 0.11830000
[mfe_pct] => 2.23
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:20:59-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T03:20:59-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.12210000
[high_after] => 0.12160000
[low_before] => 0.11590000
[low_after] => 0.11830000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)