Short Trade on COIN 29 Jan 2026 at 16:18:22
Take profit at 198.2827 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6486 (0.39 %)
Short Trade on COIN 29 Jan 2026 at 16:18:22
Take profit at 198.2827 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6486 (0.39 %)
Position size of 2027.3806 $
Take profit at 198.2827 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6486 (0.39 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.531419 15m : -0.001913 1H : -0.119165 |
3 |
Indicators:
85099
-0.00908829
84325.6
0.531419
86769.7
-0.0281677
84325.6
-0.001913
87816.1
-0.0397483
84325.6
-0.119165
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 22:00:00
[1] => 217.5
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 10:00:00
[1] => 208.31
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 15:00:00
[1] => 212.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 23:00:00
[1] => 211.19
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
[1] => 214.74
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 12:00:00
[1] => 207.75
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
[1] => 207.26
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 04:00:00
[1] => 208.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
[1] => 194.75
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
[1] => 200.17
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099915072188634
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6803594351733
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.783055198973
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 01:00:00
[1] => 208.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 02:15:00
[1] => 207.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 04:15:00
[1] => 208.81
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
[1] => 207.75
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:45:00
[1] => 208.66
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 11:30:00
[1] => 194.75
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:00:00
[1] => 198.73
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
[1] => 195.06
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
[1] => 195.85
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
[1] => 200.17
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099915072188634
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1036507531274
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2057697217258
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 08:00:00
[1] => 208.64
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 08:20:00
[1] => 208.29
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 11:35:00
[1] => 194.75
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:35:00
[1] => 198.69
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:10:00
[1] => 198.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:35:00
[1] => 195.06
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:25:00
[1] => 197.68
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
[1] => 195.85
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
[1] => 200.17
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099915072188634
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1036507531274
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2057697217258
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 08:00:00 | 208.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 08:20:00 | 208.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 11:35:00 | 194.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:35:00 | 198.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 13:10:00 | 198.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 13:35:00 | 195.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 14:25:00 | 197.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 15:15:00 | 195.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:00:00 | 200.17 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 01:00:00 | 208.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 02:15:00 | 207.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 04:15:00 | 208.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 06:00:00 | 207.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 07:45:00 | 208.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 11:30:00 | 194.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 13:00:00 | 198.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 13:30:00 | 195.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 15:15:00 | 195.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:00:00 | 200.17 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 22:00:00 | 217.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 10:00:00 | 208.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 15:00:00 | 212.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 23:00:00 | 211.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 09:00:00 | 214.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 12:00:00 | 207.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 21:00:00 | 207.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 04:00:00 | 208.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 11:00:00 | 194.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:00:00 | 200.17 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 16:18:22 |
29 Jan 2026 16:55:00 |
36 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.86 | 200.6486 | 198.2827 | 2 | 177.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 200.6486 - 199.86 = 0.78859999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 199.86 - 198.2827 = 1.5773
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5773 / 0.78859999999997 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027.3806 | 100 | 10.144 | 20.27 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.78859999999997 = 10.14
Taille de position USD = 10.14 x 199.86 = 2026.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.14 avec un stoploss a 200.6486
Avec un position size USD de 2026.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.14 x 0.78859999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.14 x 1.5773 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4003 % | 101.44 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.2827
[entry_price] => 199.86
[stop_loss] => 200.72746
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.2827
[entry_price] => 199.86
[stop_loss] => 200.80632
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.2827
[entry_price] => 199.86
[stop_loss] => 200.88518
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.2827
[entry_price] => 199.86
[stop_loss] => 201.0429
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.24000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 1.28
[rr_ratio] => 0.19
[high] => 201.14000000
[low] => 199.62000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.12
[mae_pct] => 0.64
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:18:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:18:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.81
[max_drawdown] => 1.28
[rr_ratio] => 5.32
[high] => 201.14000000
[low] => 193.05000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.41
[mae_pct] => 0.64
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:18:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:18:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 200.17000000
[high_after] => 201.14000000
[low_before] => 195.06000000
[low_after] => 193.05000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)