Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 16:18:31

Take profit at 142.0786 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 145.0957 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 16:18:31

With 7.9545 MSTR at 144.09$ per unit.

Position size of 1146.1596 $

Take profit at 142.0786 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 145.0957 (0.7 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 6.42
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.544646

15m : 0.016909

1H : -0.1515

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.6704825165
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 145.912
  4. ema21 : 150.719
  5. ema50 : 155.46
  6. ema100 : 158.264
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0124891
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0318944
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0304979
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0895608
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.652689
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.440598
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.24541
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.141285
  17. rsi : 0.237963
  18. adx : 0.517579
  19. kc_percentage : -0.227391
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.060445
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.02547
  22. volume_ema1 : 4422583.9106787
  23. volume_ema2 : 2183481.5551909
  24. chop : 3.98787
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 142.827
  28. ema21 : 143.895
  29. ema50 : 148.103
  30. ema100 : 151.967
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00883707
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00741758
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0284161
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0518359
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0863055
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.197603
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.204045
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.145585
  41. rsi : 0.458601
  42. adx : 0.56891
  43. kc_percentage : 0.571708
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0334253
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0361673
  46. volume_ema1 : 1085522.3353338
  47. volume_ema2 : 1126256.0058766
  48. chop : 51.0183
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 143.45
  52. ema21 : 142.635
  53. ema50 : 143.187
  54. ema100 : 145.913
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00446093
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00571221
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00385651
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0124952
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.133919
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.064506
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0103803
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0479086
  65. rsi : 0.654264
  66. adx : 0.336111
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03892
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0183438
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.343401
  70. volume_ema1 : 322436.47207763
  71. volume_ema2 : 491070.89549219
  72. chop : 26.6714
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85099
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00908829
  78. 5m_price: 
    84325.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.544646
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86769.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0281677
  83. 15m_price: 
    84325.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.016909
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87816.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0397483
  88. 1H_price: 
    84325.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.1515
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -13.095956547978
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8130801085249
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.380408396402
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 01:15:00
                    [1] => 158.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
                    [1] => 158.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49751243781094
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8130801085249
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 08:00:00
                    [1] => 157.68
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 08:10:00
                    [1] => 158.15
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:10:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:20:00
                    [1] => 144.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                    [1] => 140.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:55:00
                    [1] => 141.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:25:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:05:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49751243781094
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8130801085249
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.81%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.0543
9.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0186
1.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 08:00:00 157.68 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 08:10:00 158.15 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:10:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 11:20:00 144.91 ↑ High
2026-01-29 12:20:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:20:00 140.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:55:00 141.78 ↑ High
2026-01-29 15:25:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:05:00 144.72 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.81%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.6143
9.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0186
1.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 01:15:00 158.71 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:30:00 158.65 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:45:00 157.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-13.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.81%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.6043
14.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0186
1.42%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:00:00 140.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
16:18:31		 29 Jan 2026
20:35:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
144.09 145.0957 142.0786 2 130.15
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 144.09
  • Stop Loss: 145.0957
  • Take Profit: 142.0786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.0957 - 144.09 = 1.0057

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 144.09 - 142.0786 = 2.0114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0114 / 1.0057 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1146.1596 100 7.9545 11.46
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.0057

Taille de position = 8 / 1.0057 = 7.95

Taille de position USD = 7.95 x 144.09 = 1145.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.95 avec un stoploss a 145.0957

Avec un position size USD de 1145.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.95 x 1.0057 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.95 x 2.0114 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.95
  • Taille de position USD 1145.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4025 % 57.66 % 18

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.0786
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.57575
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.0729
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.57005
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.0672
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.56435
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.0615
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.55865
            [stop_loss] => 145.0957
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.22999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [high] => 144.53000000
            [low] => 143.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:18:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:18:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6
            [max_drawdown] => 0.57999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 10.34
            [high] => 144.67000000
            [low] => 138.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:18:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:18:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 145.28000000
            [high_after] => 144.67000000
            [low_before] => 140.06000000
            [low_after] => 138.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)