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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 09:49:25

Take profit at 139.5579 (2.84 %) and Stop Loss at 145.666 (1.42 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 09:49:25

With 3.9292 MSTR at 143.63$ per unit.

Position size of 564.3485 $

Take profit at 139.5579 (2.84 %) and Stop Loss at 145.666 (1.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.43
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.97
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.159613

15m : 0.012953

1H : 0.090694

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 1.35736464
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.519
  4. ema21 : 143.792
  5. ema50 : 146.296
  6. ema100 : 148.249
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0149155
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0158112
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0171152
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0311606
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.356977
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.283275
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.158645
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0972541
  17. rsi : 0.469547
  18. adx : 0.5446
  19. kc_percentage : 0.499532
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0890417
  21. volume_ema_diff : 3.17374
  22. volume_ema1 : 3960795.3935406
  23. volume_ema2 : 948978.13318782
  24. chop : 20.2909
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.691
  28. ema21 : 140.302
  29. ema50 : 141.79
  30. ema100 : 144.083
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0208873
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00276906
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0104905
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00314796
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0960022
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00604066
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0624884
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0637884
  41. rsi : 0.611151
  42. adx : 0.259654
  43. kc_percentage : 0.884677
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0605969
  45. volume_ema_diff : 3.17816
  46. volume_ema1 : 2313521.8425745
  47. volume_ema2 : 553716.97471807
  48. chop : 31.8344
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.282
  52. ema21 : 140.076
  53. ema50 : 139.742
  54. ema100 : 140.345
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0166191
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00860857
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00238716
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0234029
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.138838
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0588129
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0143581
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00567816
  65. rsi : 0.726823
  66. adx : 0.285622
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06598
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0431261
  69. volume_ema_diff : 2.52625
  70. volume_ema1 : 1431242.0605788
  71. volume_ema2 : 405882.05361684
  72. chop : 10.4388
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    77360.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0121371
  78. 5m_price: 
    78299.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.159613
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77326.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0125874
  83. 15m_price: 
    78299.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.012953
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    80540.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0278223
  88. 1H_price: 
    78299.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.090694
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 144.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.67679558011051
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3836082550484
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4806629834254
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 22:45:00
                    [1] => 147.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 23:30:00
                    [1] => 140.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:15:00
                    [1] => 141.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:15:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:45:00
                    [1] => 144.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.67679558011051
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3836082550484
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.108513943339
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:25:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:00:00
                    [1] => 140.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:55:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:00:00
                    [1] => 138.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:25:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 08:20:00
                    [1] => 138.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 08:55:00
                    [1] => 139.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:10:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:45:00
                    [1] => 144.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.67679558011051
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3836082550484
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.108513943339
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0840
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.3679
3.13%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 02:25:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:00:00 140.36 ↑ High
2026-02-02 05:55:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:00:00 138.33 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:25:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 08:20:00 138.22 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 08:55:00 139.7 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:10:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 09:45:00 144.8 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6540
1.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.3679
3.13%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 22:45:00 147.32 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:30:00 140.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:15:00 141.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:45:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:15:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 09:45:00 144.8 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.1740
2.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 03:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 05:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 144.8 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
09:49:25		 02 Feb 2026
10:00:00		 10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
143.63 145.666 139.5579 2 134.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 143.63
  • Stop Loss: 145.666
  • Take Profit: 139.5579

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.666 - 143.63 = 2.036

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 143.63 - 139.5579 = 4.0721

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.0721 / 2.036 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
564.3485 100 3.9292 5.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.036

Taille de position = 8 / 2.036 = 3.93

Taille de position USD = 3.93 x 143.63 = 564.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.93 avec un stoploss a 145.666

Avec un position size USD de 564.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.93 x 2.036 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.93 x 4.0721 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3.93
  • Taille de position USD 564.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.84 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7171 % 50.59 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.558
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.54
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.522
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 136.504
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 135.486
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 134.468
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 133.45
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.432
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 131.414
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 130.396
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.378
            [stop_loss] => 145.666
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.36
            [max_drawdown] => 4.27
            [rr_ratio] => 1.02
            [high] => 147.90000000
            [low] => 139.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.97
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T09:49:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T11:49:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.36
            [max_drawdown] => 4.27
            [rr_ratio] => 1.02
            [high] => 147.90000000
            [low] => 139.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.97
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T09:49:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T16:49:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 144.80000000
            [high_after] => 147.90000000
            [low_before] => 135.19000000
            [low_after] => 139.27000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)