Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 09:53:32

Take profit at 139.7137 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 145.7232 (1.39 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 09:53:32

With 3.9937 MSTR at 143.72$ per unit.

Position size of 573.9698 $

Take profit at 139.7137 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 145.7232 (1.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.48
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.162363

15m : 0.017424

1H : 0.043893

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 1.335447723
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.537
  4. ema21 : 143.8
  5. ema50 : 146.3
  6. ema100 : 148.251
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0154223
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.015742
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.017083
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0305651
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.355962
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.282817
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.158447
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.097155
  17. rsi : 0.472341
  18. adx : 0.5446
  19. kc_percentage : 0.505899
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.088986
  21. volume_ema_diff : 3.19411
  22. volume_ema1 : 3998943.1861406
  23. volume_ema2 : 953466.10878782
  24. chop : 20.2909
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 140.729
  29. ema21 : 140.32
  30. ema50 : 141.797
  31. ema100 : 144.087
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0212512
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00291643
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0104207
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00254937
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0982789
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00501549
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0620537
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0635725
  42. rsi : 0.618943
  43. adx : 0.259654
  44. kc_percentage : 0.892939
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.060559
  46. volume_ema_diff : 3.18155
  47. volume_ema1 : 2317219.7553411
  48. volume_ema2 : 554152.02327885
  49. chop : 31.8344
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 141.8
  54. ema21 : 140.423
  55. ema50 : 139.91
  56. ema100 : 140.449
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0135401
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00980518
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00366559
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0232834
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.169494
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.080117
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0251135
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000345473
  67. rsi : 0.733586
  68. adx : 0.282028
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03996
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0417116
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.51102
  72. volume_ema1 : 991076.52873029
  73. volume_ema2 : 394690.15250365
  74. chop : 12.7458
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    77347.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0132279
  81. 5m_price:
    78370.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.162363
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77324.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.011704
  86. 15m_price:
    78230
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.017424
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    80541.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0269577
  91. 1H_price:
    78370.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.043893
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                        [1] => 144.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.82872928176797
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.220874325024
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4806629834254
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 22:45:00
                        [1] => 147.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:30:00
                        [1] => 140.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:15:00
                        [1] => 141.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
                        [1] => 145.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 02:15:00
                        [1] => 145.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 138.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                        [1] => 136
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                        [1] => 140.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:45:00
                        [1] => 144.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.82872928176797
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.220874325024
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.108513943339
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 02:25:00
                        [1] => 145.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 138.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 05:00:00
                        [1] => 140.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 05:55:00
                        [1] => 136
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 07:00:00
                        [1] => 138.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 07:25:00
                        [1] => 140.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 08:20:00
                        [1] => 138.22
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 08:55:00
                        [1] => 139.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:10:00
                        [1] => 135.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:45:00
                        [1] => 144.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.82872928176797
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.220874325024
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.108513943339
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.22%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0268
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5237
3.24%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 02:25:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:00:00 140.36 ↑ High
2026-02-02 05:55:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:00:00 138.33 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:25:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 08:20:00 138.22 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 08:55:00 139.7 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:10:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 09:45:00 144.8 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5968
1.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5237
3.24%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 22:45:00 147.32 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:30:00 140.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:15:00 141.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:45:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:15:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 09:45:00 144.8 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.1168
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 03:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 05:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 144.8 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
09:53:32
02 Feb 2026
10:00:00
6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
143.72 145.7232 139.7137 2 134.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 143.72
  • Stop Loss: 145.7232
  • Take Profit: 139.7137

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.7232 - 143.72 = 2.0032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 143.72 - 139.7137 = 4.0063

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.0063 / 2.0032 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
573.9698 100 3.9937 5.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.0032

Taille de position = 8 / 2.0032 = 3.99

Taille de position USD = 3.99 x 143.72 = 573.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.99 avec un stoploss a 145.7232

Avec un position size USD de 573.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.99 x 2.0032 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.99 x 4.0063 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3.99
  • Taille de position USD 573.44
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0278 % 1.99 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.7136
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.712
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.7104
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 136.7088
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 135.7072
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 134.7056
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 133.704
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.7024
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 131.7008
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 130.6992
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.6976
            [stop_loss] => 145.7232
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.45
            [max_drawdown] => 4.18
            [rr_ratio] => 1.06
            [high] => 147.90000000
            [low] => 139.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.1
            [mae_pct] => 2.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T09:53:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T11:53:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.45
            [max_drawdown] => 4.18
            [rr_ratio] => 1.06
            [high] => 147.90000000
            [low] => 139.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.1
            [mae_pct] => 2.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T09:53:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T16:53:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 144.80000000
            [high_after] => 147.90000000
            [low_before] => 135.19000000
            [low_after] => 139.27000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)