Short Trade on XPL 03 Feb 2026 at 15:38:44
Take profit at 0.09579 (2.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1002 (1.52 %)
Short Trade on XPL 03 Feb 2026 at 15:38:44
Take profit at 0.09579 (2.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1002 (1.52 %)
Position size of 543.5666 $
Take profit at 0.09579 (2.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1002 (1.52 %)
That's a 1.94 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.783965 15m : 0.010265 1H : -0.12064 |
3 |
Indicators:
76056.3
0.00174939
76189.4
0.783965
77319.3
-0.0145071
76197.7
0.010265
78842.9
-0.0336565
76189.4
-0.12064
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1096
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
[1] => 0.1096
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 10:00:00
[1] => 0.101
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
[1] => 0.0984
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1054
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 01:00:00
[1] => 0.0984
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1072
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
[1] => 0.101
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
[1] => 0.1021
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:00:00
[1] => 0.0922
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8403525954946
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.5921908893709
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.737527114967
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 01:15:00
[1] => 0.1013
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1013
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:15:00
[1] => 0.1025
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
[1] => 0.1025
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
[1] => 0.0993
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 07:15:00
[1] => 0.1017
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
[1] => 0.0976
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:45:00
[1] => 0.1021
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:45:00
[1] => 0.0922
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
[1] => 0.0998
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60120240480962
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.5921908893709
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2429501084599
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 07:30:00
[1] => 0.101
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 07:55:00
[1] => 0.1016
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:05:00
[1] => 0.1016
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
[1] => 0.0976
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
[1] => 0.1021
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 11:30:00
[1] => 0.0985
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:55:00
[1] => 0.0922
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:30:00
[1] => 0.0972
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 15:15:00
[1] => 0.0945
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
[1] => 0.0998
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60120240480962
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.973544973545
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6084656084656
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 07:30:00 | 0.101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 07:55:00 | 0.1016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 08:05:00 | 0.1016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:00:00 | 0.0976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:55:00 | 0.1021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 11:30:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 13:55:00 | 0.0922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:30:00 | 0.0972 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 15:15:00 | 0.0945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 15:30:00 | 0.0998 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 01:15:00 | 0.1013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 02:00:00 | 0.1013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 03:15:00 | 0.1025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 03:45:00 | 0.1025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 04:15:00 | 0.0993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 07:15:00 | 0.1017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:00:00 | 0.0976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:45:00 | 0.1021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 13:45:00 | 0.0922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 15:30:00 | 0.0998 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 20:00:00 | 0.1096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 03:00:00 | 0.1096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 10:00:00 | 0.101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 18:00:00 | 0.0984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 0.1054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 01:00:00 | 0.0984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 09:00:00 | 0.1072 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 22:00:00 | 0.101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:00:00 | 0.1021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 13:00:00 | 0.0922 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 15:38:44 |
03 Feb 2026 15:45:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0987 | 0.1002 | 0.09579 | 1.94 | 0.0931 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1002 - 0.0987 = 0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0987 - 0.09579 = 0.00291
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00291 / 0.0015 = 1.94
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 543.5666 | 100 | 5507.2606 | 5.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0015 = 5333.33
Taille de position USD = 5333.33 x 0.0987 = 526.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1002
Avec un position size USD de 526.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.00291 = 15.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.52$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.95 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 8.26 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.26 $ | -1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7224 % | 113.33 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.09579
[entry_price] => 0.0987
[stop_loss] => 0.10035
[rr_ratio] => 1.76
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.09579
[entry_price] => 0.0987
[stop_loss] => 0.1005
[rr_ratio] => 1.62
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.09579
[entry_price] => 0.0987
[stop_loss] => 0.10065
[rr_ratio] => 1.49
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.09579
[entry_price] => 0.0987
[stop_loss] => 0.10095
[rr_ratio] => 1.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0024
[max_drawdown] => 0.0026
[rr_ratio] => 0.92
[high] => 0.10130000
[low] => 0.09630000
[mfe_pct] => 2.43
[mae_pct] => 2.63
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.92
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:38:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T17:38:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0043
[max_drawdown] => 0.0026
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[high] => 0.10130000
[low] => 0.09440000
[mfe_pct] => 4.36
[mae_pct] => 2.63
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:38:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T22:38:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.09980000
[high_after] => 0.10130000
[low_before] => 0.09220000
[low_after] => 0.09440000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)