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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 03 Feb 2026 at 15:38:59

Take profit at 129.9919 (2.2 %) and Stop Loss at 134.3841 (1.1 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 03 Feb 2026 at 15:38:59

With 5.4643 MSTR at 132.92$ per unit.

Position size of 726.3112 $

Take profit at 129.9919 (2.2 %) and Stop Loss at 134.3841 (1.1 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.95
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.74945

15m : -0.011631

1H : -0.087411

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.9760371028
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 133.946
  4. ema21 : 137.288
  5. ema50 : 140.898
  6. ema100 : 143.415
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00766035
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0243468
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0256199
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0731827
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.471295
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.294226
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.183634
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114567
  17. rsi : 0.393228
  18. adx : 0.481241
  19. kc_percentage : 0.150828
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0899312
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.81729
  22. volume_ema1 : 4300862.4440185
  23. volume_ema2 : 1526592.6432847
  24. chop : 24.3142
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 130.571
  28. ema21 : 132.114
  29. ema50 : 135.459
  30. ema100 : 137.91
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0179886
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0116835
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0246893
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0361838
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.259033
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.289207
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.210628
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.132178
  41. rsi : 0.474004
  42. adx : 0.395135
  43. kc_percentage : 0.646568
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0492304
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.185515
  46. volume_ema1 : 664711.97714825
  47. volume_ema2 : 816114.03503774
  48. chop : 39.8655
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 130.98
  52. ema21 : 130.333
  53. ema50 : 131.463
  54. ema100 : 133.874
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0148062
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0049674
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00859756
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00713305
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.11607
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0390496
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0413225
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0595274
  65. rsi : 0.669032
  66. adx : 0.26241
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15247
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0297572
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.614393
  70. volume_ema1 : 155223.99522802
  71. volume_ema2 : 402544.75083734
  72. chop : 40.3791
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76056.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00174939
  78. 5m_price: 
    76189.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.74945
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77319.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0145071
  83. 15m_price: 
    76197.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.011631
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78842.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0336565
  88. 1H_price: 
    76189.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.087411
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.7321178120617
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7244094488189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.283464566929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                    [1] => 142.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 141.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
                    [1] => 140.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 05:30:00
                    [1] => 142.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:00:00
                    [1] => 140.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
                    [1] => 133.14
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10515247108306
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7244094488189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8346456692913
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
                    [1] => 141.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:45:00
                    [1] => 140.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 09:15:00
                    [1] => 141.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
                    [1] => 138.92
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 11:55:00
                    [1] => 136.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:15:00
                    [1] => 130.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:35:00
                    [1] => 133.14
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10515247108306
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7244094488189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8746652383503
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.4259
5.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9919
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:30:00 141.52 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:45:00 140.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:15:00 141.34 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:55:00 138.92 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:55:00 136.49 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:15:00 130.69 ↑ High
2026-02-03 15:35:00 133.14 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2159
6.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9919
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 141.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:45:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:15:00 140.57 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:30:00 142.14 ↑ High
2026-02-03 07:00:00 140.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 15:30:00 133.14 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.73%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.72%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.4559
11.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9919
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
15:38:59		 03 Feb 2026
16:00:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
132.92 134.3841 129.9919 2 132.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 132.92
  • Stop Loss: 134.3841
  • Take Profit: 129.9919

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 134.3841 - 132.92 = 1.4641

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 132.92 - 129.9919 = 2.9281

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9281 / 1.4641 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
726.3112 100 5.4643 7.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4641

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4641 = 5.46

Taille de position USD = 5.46 x 132.92 = 725.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.46 avec un stoploss a 134.3841

Avec un position size USD de 725.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.46 x 1.4641 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.46 x 2.9281 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.46
  • Taille de position USD 725.74
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.2 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.1 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3166 % 119.53 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.9919
            [entry_price] => 132.92
            [stop_loss] => 134.53051
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.9919
            [entry_price] => 132.92
            [stop_loss] => 134.67692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.92999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 1.81
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 131.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 1.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:38:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T17:38:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.62
            [max_drawdown] => 1.81
            [rr_ratio] => 0.9
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 131.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 1.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.9
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:38:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T22:38:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 136.49000000
            [high_after] => 134.73000000
            [low_before] => 127.00000000
            [low_after] => 131.67000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)