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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 04 Feb 2026 at 15:49:05

Take profit at 127.0765 (1.9 %) and Stop Loss at 130.7717 (0.95 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 04 Feb 2026 at 15:49:05

With 6.4949 MSTR at 129.54$ per unit.

Position size of 841.3438 $

Take profit at 127.0765 (1.9 %) and Stop Loss at 130.7717 (0.95 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.802037

15m : -0.066274

1H : -0.051712

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.8211625183
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.969
  4. ema21 : 130.003
  5. ema50 : 134.223
  6. ema100 : 138.811
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0122751
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.015649
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0314401
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.066793
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.311436
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.260005
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.217593
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.164222
  17. rsi : 0.466006
  18. adx : 0.459687
  19. kc_percentage : 0.475015
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0914671
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.493943
  22. volume_ema1 : 1629616.2627191
  23. volume_ema2 : 1090815.05821
  24. chop : 33.2152
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 127.738
  28. ema21 : 127.103
  29. ema50 : 128.323
  30. ema100 : 129.469
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0140992
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00500013
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00950616
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.000543054
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.235501
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0314572
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0534426
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0455305
  41. rsi : 0.596967
  42. adx : 0.374297
  43. kc_percentage : 0.871066
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0509884
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.13665
  46. volume_ema1 : 277849.96484725
  47. volume_ema2 : 321828.07487365
  48. chop : 43.7817
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 128.696
  52. ema21 : 127.738
  53. ema50 : 126.78
  54. ema100 : 127.402
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00655561
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00749503
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00756273
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0167775
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.129499
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.135148
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0760527
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0217541
  65. rsi : 0.692181
  66. adx : 0.375911
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06433
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0236457
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.641817
  70. volume_ema1 : 51884.716183986
  71. volume_ema2 : 144855.51829831
  72. chop : 52.1157
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    74075.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00572831
  78. 5m_price: 
    73651.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.802037
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    74905.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0167438
  83. 15m_price: 
    73651.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.066274
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    76920.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0425026
  88. 1H_price: 
    73651.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.051712
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3778241741854
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.615106137897
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.342274148429
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:30:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:45:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 04:15:00
                    [1] => 132.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 05:45:00
                    [1] => 133.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 06:00:00
                    [1] => 131.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:45:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
                    [1] => 129.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092521202775618
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.615106137897
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7138390653283
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 09:35:00
                    [1] => 130.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:25:00
                    [1] => 130.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:35:00
                    [1] => 125.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 11:45:00
                    [1] => 122.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:10:00
                    [1] => 125.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:50:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
                    [1] => 129.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 15:15:00
                    [1] => 127.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 15:45:00
                    [1] => 129.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7111459968603
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7111459968603
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0017
0.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5365
4.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-04 09:35:00 130.77 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:25:00 130.12 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:35:00 125.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 11:45:00 122.29 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:10:00 125.29 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:50:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 15:00:00 129.7 ↑ High
2026-02-04 15:15:00 127.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 15:45:00 129.58 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.62%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3383
2.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5365
4.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:30:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-04 00:45:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:45:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 04:15:00 132.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 05:45:00 133.3 ↑ High
2026-02-04 06:00:00 131.08 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:45:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 15:00:00 129.7 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.62%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.0683
14.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5365
4.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 18:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
15:49:05		 04 Feb 2026
16:45:00		 55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
129.54 130.7717 127.0765 2 134.31
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 129.54
  • Stop Loss: 130.7717
  • Take Profit: 127.0765

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 130.7717 - 129.54 = 1.2317

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 129.54 - 127.0765 = 2.4635

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4635 / 1.2317 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
841.3438 100 6.4949 8.41
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2317

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2317 = 6.5

Taille de position USD = 6.5 x 129.54 = 842.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.5 avec un stoploss a 130.7717

Avec un position size USD de 842.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.5 x 1.2317 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.5 x 2.4635 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.5
  • Taille de position USD 842.01
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.9 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.95 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2393 % 25.17 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 127.0766
            [stop_loss] => 130.7717
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 16:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.46075
            [stop_loss] => 130.7717
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 17:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8449
            [stop_loss] => 130.7717
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.47
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 11.19
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 126.07000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T15:49:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T17:49:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.54
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 17.87
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 124.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 17.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T15:49:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T22:49:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 129.70000000
            [high_after] => 129.85000000
            [low_before] => 121.54000000
            [low_after] => 125.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)