Short Trade on BABA 04 Feb 2026 at 15:49:18

Take profit at 158.692 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 160.204 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on BABA

The 04 Feb 2026 at 15:49:18

With 15.8734 BABA at 159.7$ per unit.

Position size of 2534.9836 $

Take profit at 158.692 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 160.204 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.445577

15m : -0.057448

1H : 0.213135

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.3359916489
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.226
  4. ema21 : 161.707
  5. ema50 : 163.925
  6. ema100 : 166.027
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00328801
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00915684
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0135313
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0381093
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.172243
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.122921
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0937779
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0676225
  17. rsi : 0.347846
  18. adx : 0.472845
  19. kc_percentage : 0.165727
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0357391
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.113452
  22. volume_ema1 : 132404.49936802
  23. volume_ema2 : 149348.50600369
  24. chop : 35.9566
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 159.046
  29. ema21 : 159.365
  30. ema50 : 160.671
  31. ema100 : 161.725
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00410675
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00199855
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00812986
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0125215
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0066126
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0529168
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0589994
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0408965
  42. rsi : 0.502208
  43. adx : 0.414475
  44. kc_percentage : 0.638917
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0173072
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.701057
  47. volume_ema1 : 13814.460351772
  48. volume_ema2 : 46211.074745805
  49. chop : 58.7733
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 159.158
  54. ema21 : 158.933
  55. ema50 : 159.076
  56. ema100 : 159.951
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00340505
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141382
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000902987
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00157142
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0273232
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0224299
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.001237
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.011861
  67. rsi : 0.642144
  68. adx : 0.160713
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09617
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00792795
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.66931
  72. volume_ema1 : 3408.7500242721
  73. volume_ema2 : 10307.992809886
  74. chop : 54.2996
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    74075.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00572831
  81. 5m_price:
    73651.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.445577
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    74905.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0167438
  86. 15m_price:
    73651.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.057448
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    76920.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0425026
  91. 1H_price:
    73651.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.213135
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 167.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
                        [1] => 167.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 12:00:00
                        [1] => 169.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
                        [1] => 163.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 170.24
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 04:00:00
                        [1] => 163.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 13:00:00
                        [1] => 161.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 01:00:00
                        [1] => 163.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 08:00:00
                        [1] => 164.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                        [1] => 157.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.6559454191033
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.615159608292
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3876383059901
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 23:45:00
                        [1] => 163.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 00:15:00
                        [1] => 163.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                        [1] => 163.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 01:00:00
                        [1] => 163.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 03:30:00
                        [1] => 163.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 04:30:00
                        [1] => 162.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 08:30:00
                        [1] => 164.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
                        [1] => 164.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 12:30:00
                        [1] => 157.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 15:45:00
                        [1] => 159.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.615159608292
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.615159608292
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
                        [1] => 164.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                        [1] => 160.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 10:40:00
                        [1] => 162.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 11:50:00
                        [1] => 157.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 12:40:00
                        [1] => 157.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 13:55:00
                        [1] => 158.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 14:15:00
                        [1] => 157.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 14:55:00
                        [1] => 159.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 15:25:00
                        [1] => 158.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 15:45:00
                        [1] => 159.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69947696767283
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69947696767283
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.70%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.9560
2.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4320
0.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-04 09:00:00 164.16 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:00:00 160.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:40:00 162.1 ↑ High
2026-02-04 11:50:00 157.65 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:40:00 157.26 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 13:55:00 158.88 ↑ High
2026-02-04 14:15:00 157.81 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 14:55:00 159.53 ↑ High
2026-02-04 15:25:00 158.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 15:45:00 159.8 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.9560
2.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4320
0.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 23:45:00 163.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 00:15:00 163.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 00:45:00 163.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:00:00 163.94 ↑ High
2026-02-04 03:30:00 163.94 ↑ High
2026-02-04 04:30:00 162.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 08:30:00 164.16 ↑ High
2026-02-04 09:00:00 164.16 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:30:00 157.26 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 15:45:00 159.8 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.0360
6.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4320
0.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 04:00:00 167.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 10:00:00 167.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 12:00:00 169.74 ↑ High
2026-02-02 22:00:00 163.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 01:00:00 170.24 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:00:00 163.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 13:00:00 161.07 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:00:00 163.94 ↑ High
2026-02-04 08:00:00 164.16 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 157.26 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
15:49:18
04 Feb 2026
16:45:00
55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
159.7 160.204 158.692 2 147.93
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 159.7
  • Stop Loss: 160.204
  • Take Profit: 158.692

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.204 - 159.7 = 0.50400000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 159.7 - 158.692 = 1.008

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.008 / 0.50400000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2534.9836 100 15.8734 25.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.50400000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.50400000000002 = 15.87

Taille de position USD = 15.87 x 159.7 = 2534.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.87 avec un stoploss a 160.204

Avec un position size USD de 2534.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.87 x 0.50400000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.87 x 1.008 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.87
  • Taille de position USD 2534.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3256 % 103.17 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.692
            [entry_price] => 159.7
            [stop_loss] => 160.2544
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 17:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.692
            [entry_price] => 159.7
            [stop_loss] => 160.3048
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 17:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.58999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 0.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [high] => 160.32000000
            [low] => 159.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T15:49:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T17:49:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.58999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 0.98000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [high] => 160.68000000
            [low] => 159.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T15:49:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T22:49:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 159.80000000
            [high_after] => 160.35000000
            [low_before] => 157.26000000
            [low_after] => 159.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)