Short Trade on QQQ 05 Feb 2026 at 21:29:43
Take profit at 592.8213 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 595.8644 (0.17 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 05 Feb 2026 at 21:29:43
Take profit at 592.8213 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 595.8644 (0.17 %)
Position size of 4691.372 $
Take profit at 592.8213 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 595.8644 (0.17 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_high |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.43274 15m : 0.047302 1H : -0.133903 |
3 |
Indicators:
64327.4
0.00220415
64469.2
0.43274
67354.8
-0.0386661
64750.5
0.047302
72772.1
-0.114095
64469.2
-0.133903
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 02:00:00
[1] => 614.25
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:00:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 06:00:00
[1] => 618.06
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
[1] => 601.56
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
[1] => 610.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 23:00:00
[1] => 606.19
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 03:00:00
[1] => 610.28
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 10:00:00
[1] => 595.66
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
[1] => 587.12
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5283476437045
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3165962665213
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4545578416678
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 03:15:00
[1] => 610.28
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 04:00:00
[1] => 606.63
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 07:45:00
[1] => 599.56
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 09:45:00
[1] => 605.52
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 10:15:00
[1] => 595.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 12:45:00
[1] => 604.18
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 13:45:00
[1] => 599.01
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 14:15:00
[1] => 603
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
[1] => 587.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
[1] => 595
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02521008403361
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3165962665213
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3421447063633
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 15:10:00
[1] => 602.44
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 17:15:00
[1] => 591.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 17:30:00
[1] => 593.01
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 17:45:00
[1] => 591.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 18:05:00
[1] => 593.56
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
[1] => 587.12
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 20:00:00
[1] => 592.4
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 20:25:00
[1] => 590.46
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:05:00
[1] => 595
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:20:00
[1] => 593.78
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02521008403361
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18020142140187
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.20546330290681
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 15:10:00 | 602.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 17:15:00 | 591.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 17:30:00 | 593.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 17:45:00 | 591.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 18:05:00 | 593.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 587.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 20:00:00 | 592.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 20:25:00 | 590.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:05:00 | 595 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 21:20:00 | 593.78 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 03:15:00 | 610.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 04:00:00 | 606.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 07:45:00 | 599.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 09:45:00 | 605.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 10:15:00 | 595.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 12:45:00 | 604.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 13:45:00 | 599.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 14:15:00 | 603 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 587.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:00:00 | 595 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 02:00:00 | 614.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 08:00:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 06:00:00 | 618.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 12:00:00 | 601.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 16:00:00 | 610.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 23:00:00 | 606.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 03:00:00 | 610.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 10:00:00 | 595.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 19:00:00 | 587.12 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb 2026 21:29:43 |
05 Feb 2026 23:35:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 594.85 | 595.8644 | 592.8213 | 2 | 616.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 595.8644 - 594.85 = 1.0144
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 594.85 - 592.8213 = 2.0287000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0287000000001 / 1.0144 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4691.372 | 100 | 7.8866 | 46.91 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0144 = 7.89
Taille de position USD = 7.89 x 594.85 = 4693.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.89 avec un stoploss a 595.8644
Avec un position size USD de 4693.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.89 x 1.0144 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.89 x 2.0287000000001 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1345 % | 78.89 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 592.8212
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 23:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 592.314
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 23:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 591.8068
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 591.2996
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 590.7924
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 590.2852
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 589.778
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 589.2708
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.7636
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 588.2564
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 587.7492
[stop_loss] => 595.8644
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.77
[max_drawdown] => 0.79999999999995
[rr_ratio] => 2.21
[high] => 595.65000000
[low] => 593.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.21
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-05T21:29:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-05T23:29:43-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.89
[max_drawdown] => 4.91
[rr_ratio] => 0.59
[high] => 599.76000000
[low] => 591.96000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.49
[mae_pct] => 0.83
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-05T21:29:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-06T04:29:43-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 595.00000000
[high_after] => 596.67000000
[low_before] => 587.12000000
[low_after] => 591.96000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)