Short Trade on XAU 05 Feb 2026 at 21:30:00
Take profit at 4755.4841 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 4850.143 (0.65 %)
Short Trade on XAU 05 Feb 2026 at 21:30:00
Take profit at 4755.4841 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 4850.143 (0.65 %)
Position size of 1221.7144 $
Take profit at 4755.4841 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 4850.143 (0.65 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.84 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_high |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.335086 15m : -0.004224 1H : -0.251419 |
3 |
Indicators:
64327.4
0.00220415
64469.2
0.335086
67354.8
-0.0386661
64750.5
-0.004224
72772.1
-0.114095
64469.2
-0.251419
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 13:25:00 | 4878.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 15:55:00 | 4795.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 16:00:00 | 4828.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 16:50:00 | 4759.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 17:05:00 | 4786.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 18:00:00 | 4793.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 4649.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 19:55:00 | 4766.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 20:00:00 | 4695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:30:00 | 4836.18 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 05:15:00 | 4850.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 06:15:00 | 4895 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 08:00:00 | 4803.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 09:45:00 | 4870.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 10:45:00 | 4801.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 11:45:00 | 4911.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 16:45:00 | 4759.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 18:00:00 | 4793.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 4649.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:30:00 | 4836.18 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 11:00:00 | 4997.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 4880.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 03:00:00 | 5094.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 11:00:00 | 4851.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 18:00:00 | 5028.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 22:00:00 | 4789.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 03:00:00 | 4944.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 11:00:00 | 4911.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:00:00 | 4649.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:00:00 | 4836.18 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb 2026 21:30:00 |
06 Feb 2026 00:25:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4818.59 | 4850.143 | 4755.4841 | 2 | 5166.74 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4850.143 - 4818.59 = 31.553
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4818.59 - 4755.4841 = 63.1059
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 63.1059 / 31.553 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1221.7144 | 100 | 0.2535 | 12.22 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 31.553 = 0.25
Taille de position USD = 0.25 x 4818.59 = 1204.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.25 avec un stoploss a 4850.143
Avec un position size USD de 1204.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.25 x 31.553 = 7.89
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.89$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.25 x 63.1059 = 15.78
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.78$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.76 % | 116.07 % | 18 |
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