Short Trade on XAU 05 Feb 2026 at 21:30:00

Take profit at 4755.4841 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 4850.143 (0.65 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 05 Feb 2026 at 21:30:00

With 0.2535 XAU at 4818.59$ per unit.

Position size of 1221.7144 $

Take profit at 4755.4841 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 4850.143 (0.65 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.335086

15m : -0.004224

1H : -0.251419

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 21.0353144
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4795.03
  4. ema21 : 4831.56
  5. ema50 : 4872.02
  6. ema100 : 4864.99
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00491198
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00755971
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00830512
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00953912
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.126887
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.118416
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.070226
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0268049
  17. rsi : 0.465795
  18. adx : 0.440921
  19. kc_percentage : 0.459804
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.052845
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.00155352
  22. volume_ema1 : 9873402.3436049
  23. volume_ema2 : 9888764.7488854
  24. chop : 42.2926
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4763.44
  29. ema21 : 4768.66
  30. ema50 : 4801.26
  31. ema100 : 4842.2
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0115761
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00109427
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00678993
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00487592
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0301961
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0614047
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0571198
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.044749
  42. rsi : 0.546481
  43. adx : 0.416296
  44. kc_percentage : 0.861607
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0292837
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.263984
  47. volume_ema1 : 1971898.4698065
  48. volume_ema2 : 2679152.6536133
  49. chop : 39.0532
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4784.61
  54. ema21 : 4765.05
  55. ema50 : 4761.92
  56. ema100 : 4781.45
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00710018
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0041064
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000655537
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.007767
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0961191
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0550601
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0143457
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00373475
  67. rsi : 0.688941
  68. adx : 0.237885
  69. kc_percentage : 1.13613
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0171601
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.308696
  72. volume_ema1 : 668655.35353309
  73. volume_ema2 : 967238.87792136
  74. chop : 40.1743
  75. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    64327.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00220415
  81. 5m_price:
    64469.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.335086
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67354.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0386661
  86. 15m_price:
    64750.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.004224
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    72772.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.114095
  91. 1H_price:
    64469.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.251419
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4997.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4880.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 03:00:00
                        [1] => 5094.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4851.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5028.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-04 22:00:00
                        [1] => 4789.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4944.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4911.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4649.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4836.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066995024999084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9362052168752
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0058839848513
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 05:15:00
                        [1] => 4850.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 06:15:00
                        [1] => 4895
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4803.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 09:45:00
                        [1] => 4870.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 10:45:00
                        [1] => 4801.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 11:45:00
                        [1] => 4911.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                        [1] => 4759.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4793.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
                        [1] => 4649.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4836.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066995024999084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9362052168752
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0058839848513
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 13:25:00
                        [1] => 4878.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 15:55:00
                        [1] => 4795.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 16:00:00
                        [1] => 4828.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 16:50:00
                        [1] => 4759.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 17:05:00
                        [1] => 4786.35
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4793.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
                        [1] => 4649.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 19:55:00
                        [1] => 4766.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4695
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-05 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4836.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066995024999084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9380191693291
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0070287539936
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.01%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
28.2870
0.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
105.5741
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 13:25:00 4878.43 ↑ High
2026-02-05 15:55:00 4795.55 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 16:00:00 4828.38 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:50:00 4759.58 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 17:05:00 4786.35 ↑ High
2026-02-05 18:00:00 4793.39 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:15:00 4649.91 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 19:55:00 4766.07 ↑ High
2026-02-05 20:00:00 4695 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:30:00 4836.18 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.01%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
61.0070
1.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
105.5741
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 05:15:00 4850.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 06:15:00 4895 ↑ High
2026-02-05 08:00:00 4803.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 09:45:00 4870.58 ↑ High
2026-02-05 10:45:00 4801.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 11:45:00 4911.15 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:45:00 4759.58 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:00:00 4793.39 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:15:00 4649.91 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:30:00 4836.18 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
244.3670
5.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
105.5741
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 11:00:00 4997.89 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 4880.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 03:00:00 5094.51 ↑ High
2026-02-04 11:00:00 4851.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 18:00:00 5028.04 ↑ High
2026-02-04 22:00:00 4789.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 03:00:00 4944.5 ↑ High
2026-02-05 11:00:00 4911.15 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:00:00 4649.91 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 4836.18 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
05 Feb 2026
21:30:00
06 Feb 2026
00:25:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4818.59 4850.143 4755.4841 2 5166.74
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4818.59
  • Stop Loss: 4850.143
  • Take Profit: 4755.4841

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4850.143 - 4818.59 = 31.553

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4818.59 - 4755.4841 = 63.1059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 63.1059 / 31.553 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1221.7144 100 0.2535 12.22
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 31.553

Taille de position = 8 / 31.553 = 0.25

Taille de position USD = 0.25 x 4818.59 = 1204.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.25 avec un stoploss a 4850.143

Avec un position size USD de 1204.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.25 x 31.553 = 7.89

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.89$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.25 x 63.1059 = 15.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.78$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.25
  • Taille de position USD 1204.65
  • Perte potentielle 7.89
  • Gain potentiel 15.78
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.76 % 116.07 % 18

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4755.4841
            [entry_price] => 4818.59
            [stop_loss] => 4853.2983
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4755.4841
            [entry_price] => 4818.59
            [stop_loss] => 4856.4536
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4755.4841
            [entry_price] => 4818.59
            [stop_loss] => 4859.6089
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4755.4841
            [entry_price] => 4818.59
            [stop_loss] => 4865.9195
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 19.16
            [max_drawdown] => 26.34
            [rr_ratio] => 0.73
            [high] => 4844.93000000
            [low] => 4799.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.73
            [candles_analyzed] => 25
            [start_at] => 2026-02-05T21:30:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-05T23:30:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 19.16
            [max_drawdown] => 86.4
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 4904.99000000
            [low] => 4799.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 1.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 85
            [start_at] => 2026-02-05T21:30:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T04:30:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4836.18000000
            [high_after] => 4904.99000000
            [low_before] => 4649.91000000
            [low_after] => 4799.43000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)