Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 04:18:09

Take profit at 126.1936 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 127.4032 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Feb 2026 at 04:18:09

With 19.841 MSTR at 127$ per unit.

Position size of 2519.801 $

Take profit at 126.1936 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 127.4032 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.46
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.727709

15m : -0.106267

1H : 0.204326

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.2688042925
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.461
  4. ema21 : 127.298
  5. ema50 : 129.539
  6. ema100 : 131.455
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00425779
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00657742
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0172938
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0338968
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0728627
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.129146
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.123992
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0866195
  17. rsi : 0.45783
  18. adx : 0.249297
  19. kc_percentage : 0.46494
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0471733
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.794843
  22. volume_ema1 : 74868.735433508
  23. volume_ema2 : 364935.21016645
  24. chop : 75.8642
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 126.387
  29. ema21 : 126.278
  30. ema50 : 126.556
  31. ema100 : 127.292
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00484914
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000861729
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00220089
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00229678
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0251613
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00442638
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0117176
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0184079
  42. rsi : 0.583103
  43. adx : 0.105969
  44. kc_percentage : 0.841476
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0166501
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.364341
  47. volume_ema1 : 24091.274818988
  48. volume_ema2 : 37899.71683058
  49. chop : 69.5875
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 126.477
  54. ema21 : 126.298
  55. ema50 : 126.209
  56. ema100 : 126.221
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00413167
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141683
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000704283
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00616769
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0125086
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00688724
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00302013
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000717971
  67. rsi : 0.685759
  68. adx : 0.199238
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10912
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00896216
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.24981
  72. volume_ema1 : 16536.21087638
  73. volume_ema2 : 7350.0264197826
  74. chop : 34.8245
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67212.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000170215
  81. 5m_price:
    67201
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.727709
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67171.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000434903
  86. 15m_price:
    67201
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.106267
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68439.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0180908
  91. 1H_price:
    67201
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.204326
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 125.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 139.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 139.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                        [1] => 131.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:00:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:00:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055118110236215
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6253002401922
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6813450760608
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 124.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 127.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
                        [1] => 125.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
                        [1] => 125.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:15:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055118110236215
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93836978131213
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99403578528827
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 22:25:00
                        [1] => 126.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 22:55:00
                        [1] => 126.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 01:30:00
                        [1] => 126.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 02:00:00
                        [1] => 125.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 02:25:00
                        [1] => 126.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:10:00
                        [1] => 126.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
                        [1] => 125.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:15:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055118110236215
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93836978131213
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99403578528827
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4032
0.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2936
1.03%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 21:15:00 126.02 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 22:25:00 126.1 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 22:55:00 126.97 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:15:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 01:30:00 126.51 ↑ High
2026-02-12 02:00:00 125.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 02:25:00 126.56 ↑ High
2026-02-12 03:10:00 126.66 ↑ High
2026-02-12 03:30:00 125.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:15:00 127 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7168
0.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9936
1.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 13:00:00 124.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:15:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:30:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:30:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:30:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-11 21:15:00 126.02 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 00:15:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 03:30:00 125.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:15:00 127 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.63%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.3468
9.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9936
1.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-09 09:00:00 125.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 13:00:00 139.75 ↑ High
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:00:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:00:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:00:00 127 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Feb 2026
04:18:09
12 Feb 2026
04:25:00
6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
127 127.4032 126.1936 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 127
  • Stop Loss: 127.4032
  • Take Profit: 126.1936

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 127.4032 - 127 = 0.4032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 127 - 126.1936 = 0.8064

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8064 / 0.4032 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2519.801 100 19.841 25.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4032

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4032 = 19.84

Taille de position USD = 19.84 x 127 = 2519.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.84 avec un stoploss a 127.4032

Avec un position size USD de 2519.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.84 x 0.4032 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.84 x 0.8064 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.84
  • Taille de position USD 2519.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3386 % 106.65 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1936
            [entry_price] => 127
            [stop_loss] => 127.44352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1936
            [entry_price] => 127
            [stop_loss] => 127.48384
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1936
            [entry_price] => 127
            [stop_loss] => 127.52416
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1936
            [entry_price] => 127
            [stop_loss] => 127.6048
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.069999999999993
            [max_drawdown] => 1.95
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 128.95000000
            [low] => 126.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 1.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:18:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T06:18:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.64
            [max_drawdown] => 1.95
            [rr_ratio] => 2.38
            [high] => 128.95000000
            [low] => 122.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.65
            [mae_pct] => 1.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:18:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T11:18:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 127.00000000
            [high_after] => 128.95000000
            [low_before] => 125.02000000
            [low_after] => 124.55000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)