Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 04:20:10

Take profit at 126.1811 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 127.3044 (0.29 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Feb 2026 at 04:20:10

With 21.3657 MSTR at 126.93$ per unit.

Position size of 2711.9536 $

Take profit at 126.1811 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 127.3044 (0.29 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.47
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.017159

15m : 0.09483

1H : -0.009526

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.2496207901
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.447
  4. ema21 : 127.292
  5. ema50 : 129.536
  6. ema100 : 131.454
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00381539
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00663774
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0173221
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0344191
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0737772
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.129556
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.124166
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0867065
  17. rsi : 0.454254
  18. adx : 0.249297
  19. kc_percentage : 0.454369
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0471993
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.794573
  22. volume_ema1 : 74969.856333508
  23. volume_ema2 : 364947.10674292
  24. chop : 75.8642
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 126.373
  29. ema21 : 126.271
  30. ema50 : 126.554
  31. ema100 : 127.29
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00440655
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000801297
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00222953
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00283584
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0242354
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0040062
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0118981
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0184984
  42. rsi : 0.576577
  43. adx : 0.105969
  44. kc_percentage : 0.811526
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0166593
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.361873
  47. volume_ema1 : 24192.395718988
  48. volume_ema2 : 37911.613407051
  49. chop : 69.5875
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 126.556
  54. ema21 : 126.35
  55. ema50 : 126.239
  56. ema100 : 126.266
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00294927
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00163525
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000875499
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00525353
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0193014
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0104393
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00451701
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00102568
  67. rsi : 0.675128
  68. adx : 0.201009
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05639
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00807043
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.57124
  72. volume_ema1 : 11091.554517587
  73. volume_ema2 : 7059.1077003383
  74. chop : 35.1787
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67212.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000358344
  81. 5m_price:
    67188.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.017159
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67171.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000246662
  86. 15m_price:
    67188.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.09483
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68438.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0182756
  91. 1H_price:
    67188.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.009526
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 125.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 139.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 139.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                        [1] => 131.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:00:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:00:00
                        [1] => 127.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8414731785428
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8654923939151
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 124.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 127.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
                        [1] => 125.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
                        [1] => 125.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:15:00
                        [1] => 127.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1530815109344
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1769383697813
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 22:25:00
                        [1] => 126.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 22:55:00
                        [1] => 126.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 01:30:00
                        [1] => 126.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 02:00:00
                        [1] => 125.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 02:25:00
                        [1] => 126.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:10:00
                        [1] => 126.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
                        [1] => 125.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 04:20:00
                        [1] => 127.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1530815109344
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1769383697813
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0744
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2811
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 21:15:00 126.02 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 22:25:00 126.1 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 22:55:00 126.97 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:15:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 01:30:00 126.51 ↑ High
2026-02-12 02:00:00 125.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 02:25:00 126.56 ↑ High
2026-02-12 03:10:00 126.66 ↑ High
2026-02-12 03:30:00 125.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:20:00 127.23 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8156
0.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9811
1.57%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 13:00:00 124.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:15:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:30:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:30:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:30:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-11 21:15:00 126.02 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 00:15:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 03:30:00 125.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:15:00 127.23 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.84%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.4456
9.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9811
1.57%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-09 09:00:00 125.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 13:00:00 139.75 ↑ High
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:00:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:00:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 04:00:00 127.23 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Feb 2026
04:20:10
12 Feb 2026
04:25:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.93 127.3044 126.1811 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.93
  • Stop Loss: 127.3044
  • Take Profit: 126.1811

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 127.3044 - 126.93 = 0.37439999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.93 - 126.1811 = 0.74890000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.74890000000001 / 0.37439999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2711.9536 100 21.3657 27.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.37439999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.37439999999999 = 21.37

Taille de position USD = 21.37 x 126.93 = 2712.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.37 avec un stoploss a 127.3044

Avec un position size USD de 2712.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.37 x 0.37439999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.37 x 0.74890000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.37
  • Taille de position USD 2712.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.59 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.29 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3939 % 133.53 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1811
            [entry_price] => 126.93
            [stop_loss] => 127.34184
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1811
            [entry_price] => 126.93
            [stop_loss] => 127.37928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1811
            [entry_price] => 126.93
            [stop_loss] => 127.41672
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1811
            [entry_price] => 126.93
            [stop_loss] => 127.4916
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.17999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 2.02
            [rr_ratio] => -0.09
            [high] => 128.95000000
            [low] => 127.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:20:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T06:20:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.2
            [max_drawdown] => 2.02
            [rr_ratio] => 2.57
            [high] => 128.95000000
            [low] => 121.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.1
            [mae_pct] => 1.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:20:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T11:20:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 127.23000000
            [high_after] => 128.95000000
            [low_before] => 125.11000000
            [low_after] => 124.55000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)