Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 04:20:10
Take profit at 126.1811 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 127.3044 (0.29 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 04:20:10
Take profit at 126.1811 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 127.3044 (0.29 %)
Position size of 2711.9536 $
Take profit at 126.1811 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 127.3044 (0.29 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.017159 15m : 0.09483 1H : -0.009526 |
1 |
Indicators:
67212.1
-0.000358344
67188.1
0.017159
67171.5
0.000246662
67188.1
0.09483
68438.8
-0.0182756
67188.1
-0.009526
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
[1] => 125.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
[1] => 139.75
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
[1] => 131.24
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
[1] => 139.38
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
[1] => 131.85
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
[1] => 135.48
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
[1] => 128.12
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 00:00:00
[1] => 124.9
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 04:00:00
[1] => 127.23
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8414731785428
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8654923939151
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
[1] => 124.64
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
[1] => 127.59
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
[1] => 128.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
[1] => 125.14
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
[1] => 128.12
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
[1] => 126.02
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
[1] => 124.9
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
[1] => 125.75
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 04:15:00
[1] => 127.23
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1530815109344
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1769383697813
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
[1] => 126.02
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 22:25:00
[1] => 126.1
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 22:55:00
[1] => 126.97
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
[1] => 124.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 01:30:00
[1] => 126.51
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 02:00:00
[1] => 125.76
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 02:25:00
[1] => 126.56
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 03:10:00
[1] => 126.66
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
[1] => 125.75
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 04:20:00
[1] => 127.23
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023579344494224
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1530815109344
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1769383697813
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 21:15:00 | 126.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 22:25:00 | 126.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 22:55:00 | 126.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-12 00:15:00 | 124.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 01:30:00 | 126.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-12 02:00:00 | 125.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 02:25:00 | 126.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-12 03:10:00 | 126.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-12 03:30:00 | 125.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 04:20:00 | 127.23 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 13:00:00 | 124.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 15:00:00 | 127.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 15:15:00 | 124.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 16:30:00 | 128.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 18:30:00 | 125.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 20:30:00 | 128.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 21:15:00 | 126.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 00:15:00 | 124.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 03:30:00 | 125.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 04:15:00 | 127.23 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 09:00:00 | 125.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 13:00:00 | 139.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 08:00:00 | 131.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 10:00:00 | 139.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 16:00:00 | 131.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 09:00:00 | 135.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 15:00:00 | 124.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 20:00:00 | 128.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-12 00:00:00 | 124.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 04:00:00 | 127.23 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 04:20:10 |
12 Feb 2026 04:25:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.93 | 127.3044 | 126.1811 | 2 | 133.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 127.3044 - 126.93 = 0.37439999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 126.93 - 126.1811 = 0.74890000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.74890000000001 / 0.37439999999999 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2711.9536 | 100 | 21.3657 | 27.12 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.37439999999999 = 21.37
Taille de position USD = 21.37 x 126.93 = 2712.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 21.37 avec un stoploss a 127.3044
Avec un position size USD de 2712.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 21.37 x 0.37439999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 21.37 x 0.74890000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3939 % | 133.53 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1811
[entry_price] => 126.93
[stop_loss] => 127.34184
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1811
[entry_price] => 126.93
[stop_loss] => 127.37928
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1811
[entry_price] => 126.93
[stop_loss] => 127.41672
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1811
[entry_price] => 126.93
[stop_loss] => 127.4916
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-12 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => -0.17999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 2.02
[rr_ratio] => -0.09
[high] => 128.95000000
[low] => 127.11000000
[mfe_pct] => -0.14
[mae_pct] => 1.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:20:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-12T06:20:10-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.2
[max_drawdown] => 2.02
[rr_ratio] => 2.57
[high] => 128.95000000
[low] => 121.73000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.1
[mae_pct] => 1.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.57
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-12T04:20:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-12T11:20:10-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 127.23000000
[high_after] => 128.95000000
[low_before] => 125.11000000
[low_after] => 124.55000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)