Short Trade on XAU 03 Mar 2026 at 18:15:44

Take profit at 5098.5947 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 5137.0626 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 03 Mar 2026 at 18:15:44

With 0.6239 XAU at 5124.24$ per unit.

Position size of 3196.9949 $

Take profit at 5098.5947 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 5137.0626 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.57
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.36
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.327165

15m : 0.409107

1H : -0.102868

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 8.548427724
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5118.59
  4. ema21 : 5171.68
  5. ema50 : 5240.3
  6. ema100 : 5270.1
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00110315
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0102657
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0130945
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0276769
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.239029
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.20929
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.124584
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.067235
  17. rsi : 0.410839
  18. adx : 0.457013
  19. kc_percentage : 0.295028
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0413291
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.557041
  22. volume_ema1 : 6971396.8133912
  23. volume_ema2 : 15738278.066287
  24. rvol_20 : 0.0998224
  25. rvol_50 : 0.141795
  26. volume_zscore_50 : -0.850514
  27. volume_vol_ratio : 8.79847
  28. chop : 38.0342
  29. regime : bear_high
  30. ¸
  31. 15m
  32. ema9 : 5107.19
  33. ema21 : 5107.43
  34. ema50 : 5136.97
  35. ema100 : 5188.89
  36. price_ema9_diff : 0.00333745
  37. ema9_ema21_diff : -4.71963E-5
  38. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0057498
  39. price_ema100_diff : -0.0124609
  40. all_emas_in_trend : True
  41. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  42. ema_slope_9 : -0.0124258
  43. ema_slope_21 : -0.0151971
  44. ema_slope_50 : -0.0350793
  45. ema_slope_100 : -0.0379877
  46. rsi : 0.557273
  47. adx : 0.22116
  48. kc_percentage : 0.755186
  49. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131718
  50. volume_ema_diff : -0.820778
  51. volume_ema1 : 752143.69858653
  52. volume_ema2 : 4196737.7601256
  53. rvol_20 : 0.0216097
  54. rvol_50 : 0.00557056
  55. volume_zscore_50 : -1.02826
  56. volume_vol_ratio : 0.350173
  57. chop : 74.024
  58. regime : bear_medium
  59. ¸
  60. 5m
  61. ema9 : 5109.76
  62. ema21 : 5104.3
  63. ema50 : 5102.07
  64. ema100 : 5093.92
  65. price_ema9_diff : 0.00283188
  66. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00107088
  67. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000437063
  68. price_ema100_diff : 0.00595144
  69. all_emas_in_trend : True
  70. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  71. ema_slope_9 : 0.0245684
  72. ema_slope_21 : 0.0112267
  73. ema_slope_50 : 0.00397529
  74. ema_slope_100 : 0.00513729
  75. rsi : 0.689849
  76. adx : 0.147108
  77. kc_percentage : 1.07975
  78. kc_width_percentage : 0.00664836
  79. volume_ema_diff : -0.522604
  80. volume_ema1 : 326942.74027192
  81. volume_ema2 : 684846.23430606
  82. rvol_20 : 0.162223
  83. rvol_50 : 0.0845606
  84. volume_zscore_50 : -0.925565
  85. volume_vol_ratio : 0.846315
  86. chop : 41.3146
  87. regime : range_low
  88. ¸
  89. btc_indicators
  90. btc_indicators
  91. 5m_ema100:
    68002.9
  92. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00948191
  93. 5m_price:
    68647.7
  94. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.327165
  95. btc_indicators
  96. 15m_ema100:
    68132.1
  97. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00756739
  98. 15m_price:
    68647.7
  99. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.409107
  100. btc_indicators
  101. 1H_ema100:
    67015.4
  102. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0243564
  103. 1H_price:
    68647.7
  104. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.102868
  105. ¸
  106. market_structures
  107. market_structures
  108. 1H_version: 1.1
  109. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5283.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5281.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5313.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 5272
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-01 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5306.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5390
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5416.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 11:00:00
                        [1] => 5256.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5377.26
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5002.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7053703930998
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4409552711439
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4991903465317
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  110. market_structures
  111. 15m_version: 1.1
  112. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 03:00:00
                        [1] => 5331.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 04:15:00
                        [1] => 5223.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 06:30:00
                        [1] => 5074.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 07:45:00
                        [1] => 5223.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 10:15:00
                        [1] => 5002.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 11:30:00
                        [1] => 5133.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 12:30:00
                        [1] => 5063.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5147.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 16:30:00
                        [1] => 5083
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:15:00
                        [1] => 5124.24
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81133189061577
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81133189061577
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  113. market_structures
  114. 5m_version: 1.1
  115. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5147.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:15:00
                        [1] => 5100.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:35:00
                        [1] => 5100.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:45:00
                        [1] => 5127.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 15:20:00
                        [1] => 5129.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 15:50:00
                        [1] => 5085.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 16:30:00
                        [1] => 5083
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5100.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5087.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:15:00
                        [1] => 5124.24
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72196418287138
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72196418287138
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  116. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.7374
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
15.5947
0.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-03 14:00:00 5147.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 14:15:00 5100.01 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:35:00 5100.01 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:45:00 5127.99 ↑ High
2026-03-03 15:20:00 5129.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 15:50:00 5085.51 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 16:30:00 5083 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 17:00:00 5100.36 ↑ High
2026-03-03 18:00:00 5087.51 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 18:15:00 5124.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
194.9274
3.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
96.4547
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-03 03:00:00 5331.99 ↑ High
2026-03-03 04:15:00 5223.09 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 06:30:00 5074.87 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 07:45:00 5223.74 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:15:00 5002.14 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 11:30:00 5133.98 ↑ High
2026-03-03 12:30:00 5063.96 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:00:00 5147.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 16:30:00 5083 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 18:15:00 5124.24 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.44%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
279.7374
5.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
96.4547
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-28 07:00:00 5283.94 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 15:00:00 5281.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 19:00:00 5313.31 ↑ High
2026-02-28 22:00:00 5272 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 18:00:00 5306.89 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 19:00:00 5390 ↑ High
2026-03-02 02:00:00 5416.8 ↑ High
2026-03-02 11:00:00 5256.9 ↓ Low
2026-03-02 20:00:00 5377.26 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:00:00 5002.14 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Mar 2026
18:15:44
03 Mar 2026
19:45:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5124.24 5137.0626 5098.5947 2 4565.6
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5124.24
  • Stop Loss: 5137.0626
  • Take Profit: 5098.5947

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5137.0626 - 5124.24 = 12.8226

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5124.24 - 5098.5947 = 25.6453

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.6453 / 12.8226 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3196.9949 100 0.6239 31.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 12.8226

Taille de position = 8 / 12.8226 = 0.62

Taille de position USD = 0.62 x 5124.24 = 3177.03

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.62 avec un stoploss a 5137.0626

Avec un position size USD de 3177.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.62 x 12.8226 = 7.95

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.62 x 25.6453 = 15.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.62
  • Taille de position USD 3177.03
  • Perte potentielle 7.95
  • Gain potentiel 15.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.306 % 122.3 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5098.5947
            [entry_price] => 5124.24
            [stop_loss] => 5138.34486
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5098.5947
            [entry_price] => 5124.24
            [stop_loss] => 5139.62712
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5098.5947
            [entry_price] => 5124.24
            [stop_loss] => 5140.90938
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5098.5947
            [entry_price] => 5124.24
            [stop_loss] => 5143.4739
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 18.9
            [max_drawdown] => 38.79
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 5163.03000000
            [low] => 5105.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T18:15:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-03T20:15:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 18.9
            [max_drawdown] => 63.75
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 5187.99000000
            [low] => 5105.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T18:15:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-04T01:15:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5129.80000000
            [high_after] => 5187.99000000
            [low_before] => 5083.00000000
            [low_after] => 5105.34000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)