Short Trade on XAU 03 Mar 2026 at 18:25:40

Take profit at 5100.1402 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5137.8499 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 03 Mar 2026 at 18:25:40

With 0.6364 XAU at 5125.28$ per unit.

Position size of 3261.9344 $

Take profit at 5100.1402 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5137.8499 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.38
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.327594

15m : 0.406273

1H : -0.10627

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 8.379943794
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5118.8
  4. ema21 : 5171.77
  5. ema50 : 5240.34
  6. ema100 : 5270.12
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00126564
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0102436
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0130841
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0274834
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.2387
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.209142
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.12452
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0672027
  17. rsi : 0.412311
  18. adx : 0.455307
  19. kc_percentage : 0.301555
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0417547
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.548201
  22. volume_ema1 : 7118334.5687245
  23. volume_ema2 : 15755564.861032
  24. rvol_20 : 0.119609
  25. rvol_50 : 0.169975
  26. volume_zscore_50 : -0.823446
  27. volume_vol_ratio : 10.4913
  28. chop : 38.0537
  29. regime : bear_high
  30. ¸
  31. 15m
  32. ema9 : 5107.3
  33. ema21 : 5107.48
  34. ema50 : 5136.99
  35. ema100 : 5188.9
  36. price_ema9_diff : 0.00351947
  37. ema9_ema21_diff : -3.54484E-5
  38. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00574424
  39. price_ema100_diff : -0.0122625
  40. all_emas_in_trend : True
  41. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  42. ema_slope_9 : -0.0122466
  43. ema_slope_21 : -0.0151156
  44. ema_slope_50 : -0.0350444
  45. ema_slope_100 : -0.0379703
  46. rsi : 0.559258
  47. adx : 0.221509
  48. kc_percentage : 0.761211
  49. kc_width_percentage : 0.0136031
  50. volume_ema_diff : -0.800906
  51. volume_ema1 : 837542.22731987
  52. volume_ema2 : 4206784.6458589
  53. rvol_20 : 0.16157
  54. rvol_50 : 0.041913
  55. volume_zscore_50 : -0.992172
  56. volume_vol_ratio : 2.60325
  57. chop : 74.0695
  58. regime : bear_medium
  59. ¸
  60. 5m
  61. ema9 : 5115.62
  62. ema21 : 5108.08
  63. ema50 : 5104.02
  64. ema100 : 5095.98
  65. price_ema9_diff : 0.00188758
  66. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00147504
  67. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000795534
  68. price_ema100_diff : 0.00574881
  69. all_emas_in_trend : True
  70. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  71. ema_slope_9 : 0.0323608
  72. ema_slope_21 : 0.0173402
  73. ema_slope_50 : 0.00714496
  74. ema_slope_100 : 0.00641102
  75. rsi : 0.685871
  76. adx : 0.170332
  77. kc_percentage : 1.01026
  78. kc_width_percentage : 0.00645008
  79. volume_ema_diff : -0.603673
  80. volume_ema1 : 225918.09001345
  81. volume_ema2 : 570030.45986551
  82. rvol_20 : 0.0569761
  83. rvol_50 : 0.0344286
  84. volume_zscore_50 : -0.940394
  85. volume_vol_ratio : 0.322637
  86. chop : 35.9088
  87. regime : range_low
  88. ¸
  89. btc_indicators
  90. btc_indicators
  91. 5m_ema100:
    68049.5
  92. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00616386
  93. 5m_price:
    68469
  94. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.327594
  95. btc_indicators
  96. 15m_ema100:
    68129.3
  97. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00559232
  98. 15m_price:
    68510.4
  99. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.406273
  100. btc_indicators
  101. 1H_ema100:
    67011.9
  102. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0217438
  103. 1H_price:
    68469
  104. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.10627
  105. ¸
  106. market_structures
  107. market_structures
  108. 1H_version: 1.1
  109. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5283.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5281.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5313.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 5272
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-01 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5306.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5390
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5416.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 11:00:00
                        [1] => 5256.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-02 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5377.26
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5002.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6860296879824
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4617463725525
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4991903465317
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  110. market_structures
  111. 15m_version: 1.1
  112. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 03:00:00
                        [1] => 5331.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 04:15:00
                        [1] => 5223.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 06:30:00
                        [1] => 5074.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 07:45:00
                        [1] => 5223.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 10:15:00
                        [1] => 5002.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 11:30:00
                        [1] => 5133.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 12:30:00
                        [1] => 5063.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5147.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 16:30:00
                        [1] => 5083
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:15:00
                        [1] => 5129.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.097664626301225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82215227228015
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92071611253197
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  113. market_structures
  114. 5m_version: 1.1
  115. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5147.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:15:00
                        [1] => 5100.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:35:00
                        [1] => 5100.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 14:45:00
                        [1] => 5127.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 15:20:00
                        [1] => 5129.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 15:50:00
                        [1] => 5085.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 16:30:00
                        [1] => 5083
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5100.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5087.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-03-03 18:15:00
                        [1] => 5129.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.088112596982347
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.74240640313237
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83125143734361
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  116. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.74%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.83%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9501
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
17.1402
0.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-03 14:00:00 5147.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 14:15:00 5100.01 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:35:00 5100.01 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:45:00 5127.99 ↑ High
2026-03-03 15:20:00 5129.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 15:50:00 5085.51 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 16:30:00 5083 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 17:00:00 5100.36 ↑ High
2026-03-03 18:00:00 5087.51 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 18:15:00 5129.8 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
194.1401
3.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
98.0002
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-03 03:00:00 5331.99 ↑ High
2026-03-03 04:15:00 5223.09 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 06:30:00 5074.87 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 07:45:00 5223.74 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:15:00 5002.14 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 11:30:00 5133.98 ↑ High
2026-03-03 12:30:00 5063.96 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 14:00:00 5147.8 ↑ High
2026-03-03 16:30:00 5083 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 18:15:00 5129.8 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.69%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.46%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
278.9501
5.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
98.0002
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-28 07:00:00 5283.94 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 15:00:00 5281.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 19:00:00 5313.31 ↑ High
2026-02-28 22:00:00 5272 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 18:00:00 5306.89 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 19:00:00 5390 ↑ High
2026-03-02 02:00:00 5416.8 ↑ High
2026-03-02 11:00:00 5256.9 ↓ Low
2026-03-02 20:00:00 5377.26 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:00:00 5002.14 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Mar 2026
18:25:40
03 Mar 2026
19:45:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5125.28 5137.8499 5100.1402 2 4523.1
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5125.28
  • Stop Loss: 5137.8499
  • Take Profit: 5100.1402

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5137.8499 - 5125.28 = 12.5699

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5125.28 - 5100.1402 = 25.1398

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.1398 / 12.5699 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3261.9344 100 0.6364 32.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 12.5699

Taille de position = 8 / 12.5699 = 0.64

Taille de position USD = 0.64 x 5125.28 = 3280.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.64 avec un stoploss a 5137.8499

Avec un position size USD de 3280.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.64 x 12.5699 = 8.04

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.04$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.64 x 25.1398 = 16.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.64
  • Taille de position USD 3280.18
  • Perte potentielle 8.04
  • Gain potentiel 16.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2856 % 116.43 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5100.1402
            [entry_price] => 5125.28
            [stop_loss] => 5139.10689
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 19:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5100.1402
            [entry_price] => 5125.28
            [stop_loss] => 5140.36388
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5100.1402
            [entry_price] => 5125.28
            [stop_loss] => 5141.62087
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5100.1402
            [entry_price] => 5125.28
            [stop_loss] => 5144.13485
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 19.94
            [max_drawdown] => 37.75
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 5163.03000000
            [low] => 5105.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 0.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T18:25:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-03T20:25:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 19.94
            [max_drawdown] => 62.71
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 5187.99000000
            [low] => 5105.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 1.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T18:25:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-04T01:25:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5129.80000000
            [high_after] => 5187.99000000
            [low_before] => 5083.00000000
            [low_after] => 5105.34000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)