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Short Trade on MERL

Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 10:34:02

With 1579.156 MERL at 0.347$ per unit.

Position size of 547.9671 $

Take profit at 0.3369 (2.91 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3521 (1.47 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.055471

15m : 0.002757

1H : -0.0417

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.003377331564
Details
  1. score: 1.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.340474
  4. ema21 - 0.353555
  5. ema50 - 0.358617
  6. ema100 - 0.353677
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.019165
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0369984
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0141145
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0188813
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.19938
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.789695
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.305011
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.107516
  17. rsi - 0.461648
  18. adx - 0.214426
  19. kc_percentage - 0.412214
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.19251
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.696417
  22. volume_ema1 - 352147.20708756
  23. volume_ema2 - 1159973.3141205
  24. chop - 55.5978
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.336825
  28. ema21 - 0.33485
  29. ema50 - 0.34456
  30. ema100 - 0.356417
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0302068
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00589769
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0281813
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0264223
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.215518
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0139549
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.153576
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.141712
  41. rsi - 0.631771
  42. adx - 0.199208
  43. kc_percentage - 1.03739
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0656437
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.590332
  46. volume_ema1 - 82934.986622807
  47. volume_ema2 - 202444.38881841
  48. chop - 42.0792
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.339807
  52. ema21 - 0.335912
  53. ema50 - 0.333327
  54. ema100 - 0.333852
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0211661
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0115968
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0077538
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0393804
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.221139
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.142878
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.066998
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0234365
  65. rsi - 0.7752
  66. adx - 0.346896
  67. kc_percentage - 1.27668
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0403386
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.229927
  70. volume_ema1 - 38689.497656782
  71. volume_ema2 - 31456.725368765
  72. chop - 31.4493
  73. regime - bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87792.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0240583
  78. 5m_price: 89904.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.055471
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 86935.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0341608
  83. 15m_price: 89904.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.002757
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88664.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0139886
  88. 1H_price: 89904.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.0417
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
10:34:02		 02 Dec 2025
11:25:00		 50 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.347 0.3521 0.3369 1.98 0.4736
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.347
  • Stop Loss: 0.3521
  • Take Profit: 0.3369

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3521 - 0.347 = 0.0051

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.347 - 0.3369 = 0.0101

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.0051 = 1.9804

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
547.9671 100 1579.156 5.48
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0051

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0051 = 1568.63

Taille de position USD = 1568.63 x 0.347 = 544.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 1568.63 avec un stoploss a 0.3521

Avec un position size USD de 544.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0051 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0101 = 15.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1568.63
  • Taille de position USD 544.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9804

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.91 % 15.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.47 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
15.95 $ 2.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7493 % 50.98 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3368
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.33425
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 11:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3317
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 12:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32915
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3266
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 13:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32405
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3215
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.31895
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3164
            [stop_loss] => 0.3521
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.017
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0026
            [rr_ratio] => 6.54
            [high] => 0.34960000
            [low] => 0.33000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:34:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T12:34:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0318
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0026
            [rr_ratio] => 12.23
            [high] => 0.34960000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T10:34:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T17:34:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34980000
            [high_after] => 0.34960000
            [low_before] => 0.32020000
            [low_after] => 0.31520000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)