Short Trade on RIVER 10 Jan 2026 at 00:25:06
Take profit at 12.2718 (4.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0866 (2.12 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 10 Jan 2026 at 00:25:06
Take profit at 12.2718 (4.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0866 (2.12 %)
Position size of 377.4547 $
Take profit at 12.2718 (4.24 %) and Stop Loss at 13.0866 (2.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.76 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.094627 15m : 0.098772 1H : -0.002304 |
1 |
Indicators:
90529.6
-0.000257279
90506.4
0.094627
90669.2
-0.00188708
90498.1
0.098772
91414.8
-0.00993719
90506.4
-0.002304
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 01:00:00
[1] => 17.326
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
[1] => 19.463
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 13:00:00
[1] => 18.768
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-07 23:00:00
[1] => 17.95
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 09:00:00
[1] => 16.643
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 21:00:00
[1] => 14.589
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 00:00:00
[1] => 16.658
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
[1] => 16.395
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
[1] => 11.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 00:00:00
[1] => 12.993
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83891326098669
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.034782608696
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.982608695652
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 09:15:00
[1] => 12.298
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 10:15:00
[1] => 16.395
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 14:30:00
[1] => 12.056
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 16:45:00
[1] => 11.774
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 18:30:00
[1] => 11.846
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 19:15:00
[1] => 12.564
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
[1] => 11.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 20:45:00
[1] => 12.365
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 22:15:00
[1] => 11.562
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 00:15:00
[1] => 12.993
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83891326098669
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.434007957101
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.376751427089
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 18:05:00
[1] => 12.284
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 18:35:00
[1] => 11.846
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 19:20:00
[1] => 12.564
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 20:05:00
[1] => 11.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 20:50:00
[1] => 12.365
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 21:10:00
[1] => 11.847
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 22:20:00
[1] => 11.562
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 22:55:00
[1] => 12.131
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 23:10:00
[1] => 11.664
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 00:25:00
[1] => 12.993
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83891326098669
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.459533607682
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.394032921811
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 18:05:00 | 12.284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 18:35:00 | 11.846 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 19:20:00 | 12.564 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 20:05:00 | 11.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 20:50:00 | 12.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 21:10:00 | 11.847 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 22:20:00 | 11.562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 22:55:00 | 12.131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 23:10:00 | 11.664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 00:25:00 | 12.993 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 09:15:00 | 12.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 10:15:00 | 16.395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 14:30:00 | 12.056 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 16:45:00 | 11.774 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 18:30:00 | 11.846 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 19:15:00 | 12.564 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 20:00:00 | 11.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 20:45:00 | 12.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 22:15:00 | 11.562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 00:15:00 | 12.993 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 01:00:00 | 17.326 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-07 04:00:00 | 19.463 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 13:00:00 | 18.768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-07 23:00:00 | 17.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-08 09:00:00 | 16.643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-08 21:00:00 | 14.589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 00:00:00 | 16.658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 16.395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 20:00:00 | 11.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 00:00:00 | 12.993 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 00:25:06 |
10 Jan 2026 00:50:00 |
24 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.815 | 13.0866 | 12.2718 | 2 | 11.174 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.0866 - 12.815 = 0.2716
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.815 - 12.2718 = 0.5432
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5432 / 0.2716 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 377.4547 | 100 | 29.4541 | 3.77 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2716 = 29.46
Taille de position USD = 29.46 x 12.815 = 377.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 29.46 avec un stoploss a 13.0866
Avec un position size USD de 377.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 29.46 x 0.2716 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 29.46 x 0.5432 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.24 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4581 % | 115.98 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2718
[entry_price] => 12.815
[stop_loss] => 13.11376
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2718
[entry_price] => 12.815
[stop_loss] => 13.14092
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2718
[entry_price] => 12.815
[stop_loss] => 13.16808
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2718
[entry_price] => 12.815
[stop_loss] => 13.2224
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 01:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.356
[max_drawdown] => 1.03
[rr_ratio] => 0.35
[high] => 13.84500000
[low] => 12.45900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.78
[mae_pct] => 8.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:25:06-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-10T02:25:06-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.356
[max_drawdown] => 1.095
[rr_ratio] => 0.33
[high] => 13.91000000
[low] => 12.45900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.78
[mae_pct] => 8.54
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-10T00:25:06-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-10T07:25:06-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 12.99300000
[high_after] => 13.84500000
[low_before] => 11.56200000
[low_after] => 12.45900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)